Polkadot Validators / Melange

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
16MbsDpnL3...cSh6tvAo
Stake Amount:
2,718,317.83 DOT
% of Total Stake:
76.9%
Current Slot:
#638 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #638 → #838

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
96
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
8 nominators (92,809.86 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
20 nominators (22,176.42 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
68 nominators (263,134.80 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
1,104,265.98 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
31.3%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #638 → #718

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 96 unstable nominator(s) representing 31.3% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (96)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13Y2UShDWJa9vbSmbMt7mYWerM2U1tpdwcbcWqGzah8omk5k 63,249.90 DOT 2026-10-13 3
141p48T5LKR9YoV4Nudx9gu1GZy4Hw7M5W3VM34ituyNY8NA 35,162.01 DOT 2026-08-05 72
13sG5Rtp687ScVJjXvC7xQ4wjuDbSERETd2QpMHNTp3gZmS1 27,716.60 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13szSVMFA3h84YvVjChSiEYUPVvcYcYFAEbw9VM4YV8jv3ct 26,385.25 DOT 2026-09-23 23
16g8Lw4jZPznjWig7tx8dYdGap2tLw1BVDB9pMWQgk8tNeko 26,373.68 DOT 2026-07-31 77
12zm2WqnqsaJapHRf3off6aHGyXe8oZQANL3AtoM56jVXjSB 26,365.28 DOT 2026-07-31 77
12NNWRVN74Gve5GfVQaVMCg79m8shed5QipgB7F34xkL4gVC 26,346.37 DOT 2026-07-31 77
14ruJN7gmzPYcrh8sxSK7wE4PXcef789k3fgBLdLY3vRRDjX 26,302.40 DOT 2026-07-31 77
14sQVExcfmSE8J8SanTcMSnhdJQbWncmA1w4N1tQan3jqK4d 13,115.64 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15YWL8sKowgcRDhFR5QBh39CPDVaBrAqy88irSgVA7UMMhnZ 10,000.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
141xYSgxVbL8Gswr3Rnrp1yUuhrEbSNrbXLfywrzJMDoqrjs 9,848.61 DOT 2026-07-31 77
16isgnDg35Xb3PoFRaVeabJpwu2tS7q1RkZUpC2Z1Urjr7Uo 7,456.16 DOT 2026-08-04 73
13b1HBAk1fvmXbHTBiBY1RKbgCt2uNDF1FDVpiMZosFWzVmr 7,318.66 DOT 2026-07-31 77
159ig1wCFX7zinhLyrkep45oqisLCGNMUTCuZJWaMqRdNLLv 6,476.08 DOT 2026-08-05 72
12MDWrpFHKxp5zRp4xdiSeTjXHj7W1y5SmWqn7AhPzhGyhEt 6,429.09 DOT 2026-07-31 77
12F3poa4VV3YFUVRy1LdiUWH3iKfXcLPS1akxNPiBsPTEDxG 5,621.80 DOT 2026-08-23 54
13TvM3PHLgVnoqJbCSjTEoGD2Y8DnrUh5WPRFQpsa5FfbeXX 4,131.98 DOT 2026-09-15 31
15uQh25b6A2ieJ8s1KbNFfmxuyJu8xaW5wkpuWKyKmpyQQPa 3,168.60 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15zPxfomhUmxbhReB7FGkntnNNpQGo8guyY1KYpaU5Fmq1G2 3,037.80 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15cWK3PNj5bf7MhpatLt8ejYEPk6kLSoWaKnQmH886Ehzg5H 2,391.24 DOT 2026-09-01 45
127q6QJPf9HxXzKMAWFqmeKNwLaL6Q92KPLdobz9oTusuppC 2,316.87 DOT 2026-07-31 77
14HMejCF8Pz4qbvbZYW8xzAFp4YBZ8cGeMU5jpv7k3X5ETcH 1,901.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15SAtL8Wvo2bDd6tJPZorUjfNJdZoDJNnsEVL3rW3cW3jKp8 1,669.79 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1oHRGyr2DschbmD5fPZenZd5awFtvLzSySFRGLB4vJe2Cpo 1,645.11 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13mhSzdWh4sjZ9nhXGpBFJP9gyAVLi6t1GLXY547y6gf2LvF 1,517.21 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15HvchFS3t9WnDa1ef2kin4vZy1QfajS9LzkVBmNcdZZSmwD 1,427.85 DOT 2026-08-31 46
12mJ5CzuPhQGLC9hxn9uNBguPYziWwk7S8YcLv9b2vojX2NQ 1,387.57 DOT 2026-09-01 45
13XvJzjVQbuHkxXV3erxGZRxZQCscbtjuHDvvvSskzgseeDg 1,375.49 DOT 2026-09-01 45
14WHBpXsQxH63oDHcYeTxohjxoDc3kmXwZYoLMxxok32kTn2 1,330.20 DOT 2026-08-19 58
12Vayna3LEv5W8VJsxm24Zw9pEYmVHBivrdHnaCrtjZCEEFu 1,263.03 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13PnMvnert99HmpRza3PUxSKPmdRURDSP2sP1tdZsdanYLRF 1,250.00 DOT 2026-10-12 4
14pTJ3WMfbphrtn2gHgmsba1rUG5M3139FTVcS5ooH5vv3XP 1,244.86 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15XpJ4TT9KEmotERfotXTQcq2qudvozWWuwnDRbFehF7ACgD 1,240.55 DOT 2026-07-31 77
123tWZYyitbpjuEuhcjSNLLr5obyxZKjSmesqQyA2a7MjsG3 1,208.71 DOT 2026-07-31 77
14BzQifZFsxERQ4V6AZ87TURFozYQwFwM3FErfWU33Fuj8J4 1,115.47 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1fwoJACZU12vc73Lb9L3xGYGonGHeJjRoWGrhzqbCSjvLw2 1,075.00 DOT 2026-09-09 37
1qrsWpPkfshQzJE9EYpRrmtBF9RcpevDeafthTouB2oCsDS 1,050.84 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15PCFXCVi8u1XqKAEF5GnSXqFUJhEh8THJRxB9G1YM5WKzzE 1,035.17 DOT 2026-09-09 37
16hzQUM3qWUM3f3ue1k4RZf1Lwzve811vrdjAuAEKLqo81y9 761.47 DOT 2026-07-31 77
14Q8a3wWUuqiBAbKk28apiKcFxX5b1LEjYLMUVnRLStkCaJe 760.46 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15CvVVvLTNJjR8Eji6Ti5oMU2wjAtwDmfSMyUXQU8r7FKTTw 750.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13X3GibMUQtmtQRbq1b2smt967MRViySc7vYEpeqJm9UEDYi 707.43 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1yGb7Y7bWN7218A5wPP6gZtNQtwbSNSv5uwmJ9gFbRwwZbC 704.07 DOT 2026-09-22 24
15p4wGxZPYbGzubjnkjbcmuuJWeTYUb8fLg5P61rrCccsgnh 629.58 DOT 2026-07-31 77
16L5HqkMH3wmjgnxVXrRS1ZrqrY7UehN9v62cf65Agpm6vGG 590.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
146RyHBTgWNgoNDzPKkcWpdcmbPhVkDpna3ZvdMHL8ZVGixT 560.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
158WwoZwFeBF796qcD7VBjF1ECSmfuWuhZmWQ8Jkp4SzKtWj 530.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15YTKhKqfNzf7onemFUznDS5PtiLronYnTayQnzze4T6gPf4 504.48 DOT 2026-09-01 45
13GgzeYg6cJavACZoEykz4w294Nhc7xjWk3p1ppeEYVvLGsy 496.91 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1P6aVaCpBZRfQWeZBs7gXJGn4QQVkyZR82jn5K64xowUPyR 490.12 DOT 2026-09-15 31
14wX6eXtDRmaHs9awRQSepEiJM1d3WcWuqgq6uF6UcUUoRtT 454.02 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1L3bcMioLEsNza45VdkNMq42jYkMKUP2oz1ZZojjrw67RJx 427.60 DOT 2026-09-15 31
15VFzFBxsJAcW5BYCqsVxdgkLJ4JwPwvzcfgqLdEXasGgEuo 423.65 DOT 2026-08-24 53
1399p8Y5rnUp13pHWYoKQLgxRgFBUPmJ4W82EWoBaSAbyf3L 416.52 DOT 2026-10-01 15
14aZMSw9NdNYn6zuy5n9dtcSRPtznYrreMQkEKNTwevQ1CXk 399.31 DOT 2026-10-01 15
123CCCYGpGxNkeDvJojsCw2aLyboajDu5yQAkZEy5fYetrau 368.50 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1569sAAjSYtCCThUtkVixDViDQYraYvYPFRaH9EFufVLF29y 350.00 DOT 2026-10-05 11
15i9acWMqiLRBByj38xNpuDRSg93uhLSUwL2KQLyLFf53Hzz 344.38 DOT 2026-07-31 77
16XKkTYwH7hUM7JcLy7vKXgH1gtd4R5kjP6nKtYY3iqfyZTP 331.23 DOT 2026-07-31 77
16GJF7NHGB83kXsHTAuvFia8s7RReKMkdV8aXDVGRxGgDeGH 318.21 DOT 2026-07-31 77
16fw7q69RMDZ7dwjqKcLkBCFQsWEDHW4kw8iTo3bZxRKzgSn 305.37 DOT 2026-07-31 77
12ZNAeMGSwxKTFm1DhLFLcASBVKWJBD1MaNJfRnMPG4VfJm4 285.40 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15SWU65Lc7VKpaWDiWmH1c3NSseYvYoHZJ8zV2imjFxHxoQa 278.60 DOT 2026-07-31 77
12jauM4xybos9PEJX8mng63eKB78iWgQsvmokvvv573FijMc 250.27 DOT 2026-07-31 77
12KR6YMbioN59Lvp4FtTFQeENBDaizh64YUTr9btRPM1Jjyu 244.00 DOT 2026-09-15 31
13SowsYBe4ainy5X9vdSsBgpE5yyzYtr2XRs5wVnWUVSjDty 228.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1686R2m8U6wKxMuZAHsMQpZPFUjqgpPD5knLnwf18JF6F44C 205.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15sh6damW4F4GRifcU6Rj89NAwN44WFEkMK3rcJrg2tQb8TR 200.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1Sp4aTgx7aU6pAcejDAgKLxv4BPmmiUjdqLVVe66GuUyQi4 190.93 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15nRczYEPhYyvp9reGba3oKcktyPSiJUnDDiZkdtZeHbNnrJ 184.81 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15SXD427CSCiqu8PRWNqUeXxSUD1xN8XhcR2wsSxJdpp2E4Y 168.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1Rb35Du9UArXgRs5upTYL2yRD96ZVNaWESZATJ2BYWu3osv 165.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
14BXxK5znyTFGQnnLZbxKNDwvYSqVzy314Y3ZMwN7kUYYCCQ 155.97 DOT 2026-07-31 77
12PddPeepPxhVBagAaTSsvWCqe5Lxpg9KtNmjPpgmePEYmxD 154.73 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13QcC35uyZWjE6omLSgEAusCSURiwnzCVUpTWBjyptfnsegJ 153.47 DOT 2026-07-31 77
12giPxHvBD7m6b48r5WRrZycSiiKt3YdC34tMxoauSpufE5a 148.92 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1ebapEnrpGA1qZERU2N1xVGGfmfsUi1NPpTDAuzCxF1K2HF 138.30 DOT 2026-07-31 77
16Sbd8noP56A46FJ4pV3NjRZH8U9s5rqnSTa7DfgeUUP8RxR 133.77 DOT 2026-07-31 77
12Bk8eUxZ3ZJUm9a4TDvexj17htAzCP1ptiPwHRSCozDX4Qb 132.18 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13j2ngrAQywJcrqe46Au9xpz5xi2qaML6s7rS1Re19e8XcZZ 129.88 DOT 2026-07-28 80
15ZDQseyPR95n69J4K8XiRTdr6MqfYqNNvEtujowjrZJSQJ1 129.50 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15QYyzLJVV38AzQYUmC45wPh76cWRUjbgrV5twUoXnyd5Xrd 126.54 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13xUrWCnEcEvnxA5x88w89qqkFxaYjRsiSBixm16NxoZE8dD 125.46 DOT 2026-09-01 45
13a2pzAYBDvhAj2jVUfKjMFAn6EtKXAsnFPkhWEDeuciRiGe 123.00 DOT 2026-08-23 54
158hyhwjgcPddSUBHHxmWpyDsCmErZMDwbKEqkT1wqaypJTZ 120.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1pCRdB3CqVQGY7jEy6aBPSmVTWNbCmgF7QzJLGyvziNY4so 88.00 DOT 2026-07-31 77
16ezZttgGDsgCg8BSY6TVM9okfa7LuebaXZq6YB8UHk6u43g 67.15 DOT 2026-07-31 77
14axscH5AGnTWzazju4bQjWEY9RtsQf4mwXzMLT5RhyHimCU 54.79 DOT 2026-09-22 24
15Evx8YfgKJFqn26mEAjasUFCWkhC8H3tWn89gXn35rC64zo 51.63 DOT 2026-07-31 77
1288JhpKVDn326rQ6nEsTMMenfVwm5r3oV8VgY7scfW3RoMt 26.12 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13sa5QNnEKSbdUQ3wg3xD3T8HtsrxrJnhg9ZDb8MKtyXuE6n 22.00 DOT 2026-08-19 58
13Cq2HM6bfPhfM9aWRwyqGKepQqSWTJM2BtywWzoYwAHq9ZU 15.00 DOT 2026-08-23 54
13K5Nv2rdgKVhKDd885vo89ZLqNkYtivU9eyoUrRjuLzQD2d 14.74 DOT 2026-07-31 77
12goCNfmzbnin4sJRtGcvWMgC4dJMHfsNpvg1PVXhMhV25FN 12.58 DOT 2026-09-01 45
12Nmi3zCUi1tdjEsPHfk3TMSHPFt3H85V2QfeFt2aPVc8CaC 12.24 DOT 2026-09-01 45
1sFUZoTUJSLPWMetjTRBVU726fkjGgEwBejaCNiQhQ1ovLY 9.90 DOT 2026-07-31 77