Polkadot Validators / Melange

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
16MbsDpnL3...cSh6tvAo
Stake Amount:
2,709,336.89 DOT
% of Total Stake:
71.6%
Current Slot:
#625 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #625 → #825

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
131
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
16 nominators (330,573.69 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
96 nominators (476,093.16 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
19 nominators (2,914,080.84 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
1,509,352.73 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
39.9%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #625 → #705

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 131 unstable nominator(s) representing 39.9% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (131)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
16MbsDpnL3WtpPGkF4peSi4zxVNqtJSLvDdjbCHAcSh6tvAo 2,709,336.89 DOT 2026-06-29 64
12brnSMS2yJTzrmVkS7V2xL9yJWbm4ca26ah53Ez8TfE9GyA 172,374.91 DOT 2026-08-04 28
15btAXZav2sm8SDd4LNeh4S1REqci87ssZhsARpoeN34NfYi 148,871.77 DOT 2026-06-29 64
13Y2UShDWJa9vbSmbMt7mYWerM2U1tpdwcbcWqGzah8omk5k 63,044.89 DOT 2026-08-23 9
15jJGvECrkMHLMY7fVzVC2mfNDaawjfpnXuMvEZ1YnnsC8o 56,454.06 DOT 2026-07-11 52
141p48T5LKR9YoV4Nudx9gu1GZy4Hw7M5W3VM34ituyNY8NA 35,045.94 DOT 2026-08-05 27
12cmr7qrnPDpAXTcxfHMty4vme8oP5MwMLx9u3Lqkg2Cx9Lg 27,948.47 DOT 2026-06-11 82
13sG5Rtp687ScVJjXvC7xQ4wjuDbSERETd2QpMHNTp3gZmS1 27,620.67 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13DUUbxmasozKg2Jp4yXVQWwWfm5QBJRK1zqHQv7tbaZaXpV 26,304.88 DOT 2026-07-11 52
13szSVMFA3h84YvVjChSiEYUPVvcYcYFAEbw9VM4YV8jv3ct 26,298.45 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16g8Lw4jZPznjWig7tx8dYdGap2tLw1BVDB9pMWQgk8tNeko 26,288.15 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12zm2WqnqsaJapHRf3off6aHGyXe8oZQANL3AtoM56jVXjSB 26,280.14 DOT 2026-07-31 32
17pYQFoEcHrV6miLMcJ4B7h6kPqDgrJu9BAp4KwF8H9c6wR 26,259.26 DOT 2026-07-11 52
12NNWRVN74Gve5GfVQaVMCg79m8shed5QipgB7F34xkL4gVC 26,257.30 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15Afnc4qC9EUsg9CfZFwddWgfF8SkjieRNtTrCauH9SR5jUu 26,251.54 DOT 2026-07-11 52
14ruJN7gmzPYcrh8sxSK7wE4PXcef789k3fgBLdLY3vRRDjX 26,215.20 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13316VNZGjVjcTSc3qAVo2DfTpzNkJL3CtuvV21GrNHsFBjK 21,978.41 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12gD6dWiok6JGtzHE1vdGsZKMHmQGYCeYEk1wnV6oe39VPDS 16,630.31 DOT 2026-08-04 28
14ubkQ7jsWH4sMGniDfwvihwFcyVVPhB4VhjCf8G6i5ns8yQ 15,849.49 DOT 2026-06-29 64
124ahnGMbX9zvn9jojiEnEmYBxzYjANJACd2iMbsNXQJxUQ6 14,534.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12zPn8277ZixeewxFnQdLEBgqM4pW1g4KiQJ8L7RoGTJ2nED 13,177.80 DOT 2026-07-06 57
14sQVExcfmSE8J8SanTcMSnhdJQbWncmA1w4N1tQan3jqK4d 13,115.64 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12VcqykktPFxYLvt9U4S1Nu4Ww33HT148m223YAKX8j62EDc 12,880.36 DOT 2026-07-31 32
128cWC2bdb4bbTxXAspswWKXxe8emwGD6hVvNACLkSBBYUyK 12,852.65 DOT 2026-08-04 28
15YWL8sKowgcRDhFR5QBh39CPDVaBrAqy88irSgVA7UMMhnZ 10,000.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
141xYSgxVbL8Gswr3Rnrp1yUuhrEbSNrbXLfywrzJMDoqrjs 9,848.61 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16isgnDg35Xb3PoFRaVeabJpwu2tS7q1RkZUpC2Z1Urjr7Uo 7,431.82 DOT 2026-08-04 28
15QbsjJSRMhxwzdaX9DPsyJaJdnQfsAehNsYHVhf9ogxeaPF 7,430.29 DOT 2026-08-24 8
13b1HBAk1fvmXbHTBiBY1RKbgCt2uNDF1FDVpiMZosFWzVmr 7,318.66 DOT 2026-07-31 32
159ig1wCFX7zinhLyrkep45oqisLCGNMUTCuZJWaMqRdNLLv 6,455.01 DOT 2026-08-05 27
12MDWrpFHKxp5zRp4xdiSeTjXHj7W1y5SmWqn7AhPzhGyhEt 6,407.65 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12F3poa4VV3YFUVRy1LdiUWH3iKfXcLPS1akxNPiBsPTEDxG 5,621.80 DOT 2026-08-23 9
1HQzwPf276VhZRhNBzFBh1AX4EqUobUtJE4MLRq8y8GuAK7 4,824.53 DOT 2026-07-11 52
12Yc63VeB2GEfLPC9bhaAZvrRQhyEE6YeWmAwvUsvWBfzfoo 4,200.33 DOT 2026-07-11 52
13TvM3PHLgVnoqJbCSjTEoGD2Y8DnrUh5WPRFQpsa5FfbeXX 4,119.01 DOT 2026-07-11 52
1E9HuB5p6VGjofv6ZAog9YxQYAQLpS6j7nkSP4dBnyS1eEh 3,684.58 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16dWXPZhfKfFUPbjMDmhUFQ1twaKVuqNdiH4mq22zgUmnJcg 3,289.01 DOT 2026-07-11 52
15uQh25b6A2ieJ8s1KbNFfmxuyJu8xaW5wkpuWKyKmpyQQPa 3,157.85 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12Kgp5V9JgGj2VhiKTJNJaqQ1aC5y6tubG2s6fT243DMpQBc 3,056.43 DOT 2026-07-11 52
15zPxfomhUmxbhReB7FGkntnNNpQGo8guyY1KYpaU5Fmq1G2 3,027.44 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15cWK3PNj5bf7MhpatLt8ejYEPk6kLSoWaKnQmH886Ehzg5H 2,391.24 DOT 2026-07-31 32
127q6QJPf9HxXzKMAWFqmeKNwLaL6Q92KPLdobz9oTusuppC 2,309.49 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14HMejCF8Pz4qbvbZYW8xzAFp4YBZ8cGeMU5jpv7k3X5ETcH 1,901.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14eqUjY45QPu1yw2ofBhVboCZw76P3hd6jz24DBS5sxALEjW 1,798.74 DOT 2026-06-29 64
15SAtL8Wvo2bDd6tJPZorUjfNJdZoDJNnsEVL3rW3cW3jKp8 1,664.34 DOT 2026-07-31 32
163mzsW6yJ2kz5E1Z1VmGGdpxhomAFFZ4cuQ3rS6hs4GWhsA 1,651.08 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1oHRGyr2DschbmD5fPZenZd5awFtvLzSySFRGLB4vJe2Cpo 1,639.45 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1ZJ99sR48rPQDwzm1CcqaWWLyZusC4BoQJYKW6zbxmPbiMn 1,580.22 DOT 2026-06-29 64
1FBzubv3ja7cibCX4tcgd9HAT2tSi4gaHF9Ar7CmzEXbQMv 1,527.53 DOT 2026-06-29 64
13mhSzdWh4sjZ9nhXGpBFJP9gyAVLi6t1GLXY547y6gf2LvF 1,512.12 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15HvchFS3t9WnDa1ef2kin4vZy1QfajS9LzkVBmNcdZZSmwD 1,423.09 DOT 2026-08-31 1
12mJ5CzuPhQGLC9hxn9uNBguPYziWwk7S8YcLv9b2vojX2NQ 1,382.95 DOT 2026-07-28 35
13XvJzjVQbuHkxXV3erxGZRxZQCscbtjuHDvvvSskzgseeDg 1,371.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14WHBpXsQxH63oDHcYeTxohjxoDc3kmXwZYoLMxxok32kTn2 1,330.20 DOT 2026-08-19 13
1KATHJEQafxPoLWFkNEAQgckopR31fgk1kSFMNn7jgW64iV 1,286.74 DOT 2026-07-11 52
12Vayna3LEv5W8VJsxm24Zw9pEYmVHBivrdHnaCrtjZCEEFu 1,258.71 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14pTJ3WMfbphrtn2gHgmsba1rUG5M3139FTVcS5ooH5vv3XP 1,240.69 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15XpJ4TT9KEmotERfotXTQcq2qudvozWWuwnDRbFehF7ACgD 1,236.55 DOT 2026-07-31 32
123tWZYyitbpjuEuhcjSNLLr5obyxZKjSmesqQyA2a7MjsG3 1,204.78 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13bTkAZqHyrwVRU2kyey8EJQeHT4vBtw5m5me9B1ecnfDADC 1,180.96 DOT 2026-07-08 55
12anyuEJWHWC6ogSimuqwse7Y4Gwcdsv3jnGT5wQ6ayKnj8j 1,126.53 DOT 2026-06-29 64
14BzQifZFsxERQ4V6AZ87TURFozYQwFwM3FErfWU33Fuj8J4 1,111.73 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14xs9E4FD2vF4aT8TsjjCZdsPPJm6Hwc1M4iADbuSxXNfzH1 1,088.77 DOT 2026-06-29 64
1fwoJACZU12vc73Lb9L3xGYGonGHeJjRoWGrhzqbCSjvLw2 1,075.00 DOT 2026-07-11 52
1qrsWpPkfshQzJE9EYpRrmtBF9RcpevDeafthTouB2oCsDS 1,050.84 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15PCFXCVi8u1XqKAEF5GnSXqFUJhEh8THJRxB9G1YM5WKzzE 1,031.96 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12eKvbjv5zduHjBgSw1m98DQenkJ2KWVjpLNWRMPYBnPzDPo 949.24 DOT 2026-06-29 64
14AfMx6Z1bET74ETvVwz55vGPY4PanFoVFfChGVqiaE8deYv 842.13 DOT 2026-06-29 64
13BnVdCFCPhSPVePHq3SvzMAeEjwiEzDXwpCs1x3Rh4adNSx 772.97 DOT 2026-06-29 64
16hzQUM3qWUM3f3ue1k4RZf1Lwzve811vrdjAuAEKLqo81y9 759.31 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14Q8a3wWUuqiBAbKk28apiKcFxX5b1LEjYLMUVnRLStkCaJe 757.62 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15CvVVvLTNJjR8Eji6Ti5oMU2wjAtwDmfSMyUXQU8r7FKTTw 750.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13X3GibMUQtmtQRbq1b2smt967MRViySc7vYEpeqJm9UEDYi 707.43 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1yGb7Y7bWN7218A5wPP6gZtNQtwbSNSv5uwmJ9gFbRwwZbC 704.07 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14nWkPKBzibFE1VpCee97tEEmQeeaLwY49MZ9Ejm3Ed5XDU6 678.17 DOT 2026-07-11 52
131JJMZYY3REKCtADLJnYauqMDeyNqdFXJJt95PVfsg4Q5fx 642.67 DOT 2026-07-11 52
13X9DwgHWiBmuLfScWwVSRjxxjMUvoQgTfLgAfmTA1HX4BeG 640.00 DOT 2026-07-06 57
15p4wGxZPYbGzubjnkjbcmuuJWeTYUb8fLg5P61rrCccsgnh 627.42 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1699Spfdp7pmWWkYNJ8zWrPa5qQJNdG1v4sjhnkNMxy97jek 625.00 DOT 2026-06-29 64
16L5HqkMH3wmjgnxVXrRS1ZrqrY7UehN9v62cf65Agpm6vGG 590.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
146RyHBTgWNgoNDzPKkcWpdcmbPhVkDpna3ZvdMHL8ZVGixT 560.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1HrrtSvwq5zekZNHSjsARu35sfo24wJnm8o6gQZt4CUnKmU 541.88 DOT 2026-06-29 64
158WwoZwFeBF796qcD7VBjF1ECSmfuWuhZmWQ8Jkp4SzKtWj 530.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13GgzeYg6cJavACZoEykz4w294Nhc7xjWk3p1ppeEYVvLGsy 495.25 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1P6aVaCpBZRfQWeZBs7gXJGn4QQVkyZR82jn5K64xowUPyR 488.55 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14wX6eXtDRmaHs9awRQSepEiJM1d3WcWuqgq6uF6UcUUoRtT 452.50 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1L3bcMioLEsNza45VdkNMq42jYkMKUP2oz1ZZojjrw67RJx 426.22 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15VFzFBxsJAcW5BYCqsVxdgkLJ4JwPwvzcfgqLdEXasGgEuo 422.76 DOT 2026-08-24 8
15w54gEiMdr7qd3kwGp17tS5KUYYbr41SJMgProYLtBGvjFE 400.19 DOT 2026-06-29 64
123CCCYGpGxNkeDvJojsCw2aLyboajDu5yQAkZEy5fYetrau 368.50 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1569sAAjSYtCCThUtkVixDViDQYraYvYPFRaH9EFufVLF29y 350.00 DOT 2026-08-21 11
15i9acWMqiLRBByj38xNpuDRSg93uhLSUwL2KQLyLFf53Hzz 343.24 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16XKkTYwH7hUM7JcLy7vKXgH1gtd4R5kjP6nKtYY3iqfyZTP 330.22 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16GJF7NHGB83kXsHTAuvFia8s7RReKMkdV8aXDVGRxGgDeGH 317.23 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16fw7q69RMDZ7dwjqKcLkBCFQsWEDHW4kw8iTo3bZxRKzgSn 304.32 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12ZNAeMGSwxKTFm1DhLFLcASBVKWJBD1MaNJfRnMPG4VfJm4 284.47 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16JTbjHzTGsWBbWYZTnxicFeULgEim3HgC1fzdfLkbVpX29p 280.00 DOT 2026-07-10 53
15SWU65Lc7VKpaWDiWmH1c3NSseYvYoHZJ8zV2imjFxHxoQa 278.60 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12jauM4xybos9PEJX8mng63eKB78iWgQsvmokvvv573FijMc 249.44 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12KR6YMbioN59Lvp4FtTFQeENBDaizh64YUTr9btRPM1Jjyu 243.19 DOT 2026-06-29 64
12eVWRvu8PybDxqiaw9KZUMRxqGQMvoRbLyBMkGrK2yeyny9 238.44 DOT 2026-06-09 84
13SowsYBe4ainy5X9vdSsBgpE5yyzYtr2XRs5wVnWUVSjDty 228.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1686R2m8U6wKxMuZAHsMQpZPFUjqgpPD5knLnwf18JF6F44C 205.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15sh6damW4F4GRifcU6Rj89NAwN44WFEkMK3rcJrg2tQb8TR 200.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1Sp4aTgx7aU6pAcejDAgKLxv4BPmmiUjdqLVVe66GuUyQi4 190.93 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15nRczYEPhYyvp9reGba3oKcktyPSiJUnDDiZkdtZeHbNnrJ 184.81 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14DRYowA45CGBcMwxCq4T27csQ6u34Sw9dV4cu6wiZrQQYUY 180.00 DOT 2026-06-08 85
15SXD427CSCiqu8PRWNqUeXxSUD1xN8XhcR2wsSxJdpp2E4Y 168.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1Rb35Du9UArXgRs5upTYL2yRD96ZVNaWESZATJ2BYWu3osv 165.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1iATBLoRrbZZy66r5PsSR8ApyYvEkwHf1U1imzKG5NdoapD 159.40 DOT 2026-06-29 64
14BXxK5znyTFGQnnLZbxKNDwvYSqVzy314Y3ZMwN7kUYYCCQ 155.97 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12PddPeepPxhVBagAaTSsvWCqe5Lxpg9KtNmjPpgmePEYmxD 154.73 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13QcC35uyZWjE6omLSgEAusCSURiwnzCVUpTWBjyptfnsegJ 153.47 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12giPxHvBD7m6b48r5WRrZycSiiKt3YdC34tMxoauSpufE5a 148.92 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1ebapEnrpGA1qZERU2N1xVGGfmfsUi1NPpTDAuzCxF1K2HF 138.30 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16Sbd8noP56A46FJ4pV3NjRZH8U9s5rqnSTa7DfgeUUP8RxR 133.77 DOT 2026-07-31 32
12Bk8eUxZ3ZJUm9a4TDvexj17htAzCP1ptiPwHRSCozDX4Qb 132.18 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13j2ngrAQywJcrqe46Au9xpz5xi2qaML6s7rS1Re19e8XcZZ 129.88 DOT 2026-07-28 35
15ZDQseyPR95n69J4K8XiRTdr6MqfYqNNvEtujowjrZJSQJ1 129.50 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15QYyzLJVV38AzQYUmC45wPh76cWRUjbgrV5twUoXnyd5Xrd 126.54 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13a2pzAYBDvhAj2jVUfKjMFAn6EtKXAsnFPkhWEDeuciRiGe 123.00 DOT 2026-08-23 9
158hyhwjgcPddSUBHHxmWpyDsCmErZMDwbKEqkT1wqaypJTZ 120.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1pCRdB3CqVQGY7jEy6aBPSmVTWNbCmgF7QzJLGyvziNY4so 88.00 DOT 2026-07-31 32
16ezZttgGDsgCg8BSY6TVM9okfa7LuebaXZq6YB8UHk6u43g 67.15 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14axscH5AGnTWzazju4bQjWEY9RtsQf4mwXzMLT5RhyHimCU 54.79 DOT 2026-07-31 32
15Evx8YfgKJFqn26mEAjasUFCWkhC8H3tWn89gXn35rC64zo 51.63 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1288JhpKVDn326rQ6nEsTMMenfVwm5r3oV8VgY7scfW3RoMt 26.12 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13sa5QNnEKSbdUQ3wg3xD3T8HtsrxrJnhg9ZDb8MKtyXuE6n 22.00 DOT 2026-08-19 13
13Cq2HM6bfPhfM9aWRwyqGKepQqSWTJM2BtywWzoYwAHq9ZU 15.00 DOT 2026-08-23 9
13K5Nv2rdgKVhKDd885vo89ZLqNkYtivU9eyoUrRjuLzQD2d 14.74 DOT 2026-07-31 32
1sFUZoTUJSLPWMetjTRBVU726fkjGgEwBejaCNiQhQ1ovLY 9.90 DOT 2026-07-31 32