Polkadot Validators / Amforc/4

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
144CGH3QZa...CyTCfBXU
Stake Amount:
273,036.02 DOT
% of Total Stake:
37.0%
Current Slot:
#656 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #656 → #756

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
28
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
15 nominators (48,233.52 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
1 nominators (252.06 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
12 nominators (629,195.83 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
239,661.79 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
32.5%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #656 → #736

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 28 unstable nominator(s) representing 32.5% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (28)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
144CGH3QZaF3g2hkZkMqpRfeAs62MXy3ycuvVSZiCyTCfBXU 273,036.02 DOT 2026-05-01 60
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGCzcoXTLG6tYo2kczsHK4vjWa1jU3h 77,541.37 DOT 2026-05-01 60
14ti8pn7r4JBQm1csWD153AvjXvoqXcWob479eRNL7EenzJm 77,292.94 DOT 2026-05-01 60
13eBaC1tgAKDgZcsPBxE7r4yzWi13jQpwXKCqQG1t4i42cg6 75,610.11 DOT 2026-05-01 60
1CJ6mZV4sXUVfwyVbe3RV8t7iB1SUPNVek3Dp7ca2mPJwZa 32,468.79 DOT 2026-05-01 60
1ssJbCvgUB66V1KsMX12JpVwyzUZvK2FU6QmJCYWB7vQa5H 29,780.24 DOT 2026-05-01 60
16LUjPL3Vw8qCjtWf2Hsy9dYsshLKR9RvXUuesc1GmA3syeP 20,730.66 DOT 2026-05-01 60
15GnMnrsPf4QA3VE1PYQddgWP8pfr4q5Z9Y15c82Vuw1LwoC 17,997.85 DOT 2026-05-01 60
12zu8SjWpnCT8KfoFVDD12L65TmrTYfboT5nXxn9xWn4Qu79 17,881.35 DOT 2026-05-01 60
16babw7N1FuFFDQC9kM7r4D53LJCu4eS4bR3fZjDDDALGe3c 17,690.00 DOT 2026-06-29 1
12vXacg9vA7oZQ8QngnpExEUYu5tSdDfLYnf15Um7HNJSe6Y 7,121.78 DOT 2026-06-29 1
14m3VwDPkCTKMbQzvR5Q4uLYHg2SgSWSFqaAbYynQ7Qb1jgb 7,000.00 DOT 2026-06-29 1
13AhhhavjKkW4KNLfn6P8C3ATmXBzJVhL7pudJG6LDSpGU7N 6,780.32 DOT 2026-06-29 1
12rkzm4qavcQsFRaqxPicAECm5CkcPe4AUvMrd5hWqv1R9xA 3,319.42 DOT 2026-05-01 60
153Fz22gxQP8HM8RbnvEt9XWsXu9nR8jxZC2MbQFmuKhN62f 2,758.08 DOT 2026-05-01 60
13SYRMR1r5ZYmCJjwWTDwQJgwm4PfQZwN15VPu5aTpLB4JE6 2,639.94 DOT 2026-06-29 1
1k2u5cPEuCXiSEPM2ZTSaX6UG3DcQMy8WFFPKFRRqDzgD9U 2,242.00 DOT 2026-06-29 1
15w15EaRpdtMhwXdRDnVCEziYYN3Qcf3zq12D9XwD6h4NCjZ 1,463.89 DOT 2026-06-29 1
128yzgdZEb8KNdxSMaKhUNyyxvFqwCdixbdpY3Mbshd32JKX 778.99 DOT 2026-05-01 60
15ewGzG1b86RE8Q2RDcjh5749dEdZ7JUa5YGSS3dZE9xxFEM 586.35 DOT 2026-06-29 1
16hyK2ABKpJN9UHgpGKnzRtJnqFp4a2qnYZLrTB5t925RitN 575.26 DOT 2026-06-29 1
1XsHnD6bzPhsgi37gm6vkT7acrzmgBC83F7kDJMszb4Gpod 524.85 DOT 2026-06-29 1
14xYtKWfGM5rnVZZJHBcJYQ7ETe5wQQoHZzapuB5JxihtCLj 451.95 DOT 2026-06-09 21
14AMyCw2rZiRAGnvLwXFxUw5UA3aQKfSU1NRssWdFAowi1ke 340.00 DOT 2026-06-29 1
156FTqDnWfExVrA8Ypk1JXT3MHVPyp6x6xCvdcrUV1Dijhc1 286.51 DOT 2026-06-29 1
139yTTz8ioaLSiSVQ6aVAkEqUcrcYuLcWkX3RrEFUFdN7CAX 280.66 DOT 2026-06-29 1
14XNiSCsstUEASxRYwbTaFxLwvxSKkAWLFDYNFyeXZ5fDG8L 252.06 DOT 2026-05-26 35
1Gccjh4nJ1a1BRmxkxXC6A1h9fdnXCBfPqG1Aqdk3afzziV 250.00 DOT 2026-06-29 1