Polkadot Validators / EXNESS.COM/2

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
16fzN77u7Y...PNfrF9TH
Stake Amount:
1,592,897.54 DOT
% of Total Stake:
51.6%
Current Slot:
#485 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #485 → #685

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
17
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
11 nominators (125,112.84 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
5 nominators (31,290.32 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (1,592,897.54 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
1,022,409.06 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
33.1%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #485 → #565

⚠ WARNING: Would be close to active set threshold (35 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 17 unstable nominator(s) representing 33.1% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (17)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
16fzN77u7YkPG6hZveCTMaH9QRN8BixKbfxdZo35PNfrF9TH 1,592,897.54 DOT 2026-08-09 68
12egKjF8KKa3dfHwKzh8T1PkfyD1Fs7TKAL6abjzvQd6AoML 96,180.38 DOT 2026-10-12 4
1kCh9ugMXoxLmN9gWngyYpVHRZ5owqqNnsryYXoJfA43Tdu 16,269.92 DOT 2026-10-05 11
14g5e9VWZskBeS61swahQaQ4dfVsqWd9QyHjrBPppPuYwSG3 15,000.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14NEd8CiipACJpSZcbaddjuBRZVBforQz2iujaKznWUTguBB 9,282.12 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1419Nme4Cv5THEG5B9AeDWUNwCnW9L7fej2F1baAu3MsyjcN 6,350.92 DOT 2026-09-02 44
15Ug4ARgemQY61WUDjFy8pXBmeTptzRCAw8du9gquxsXRFPX 3,183.33 DOT 2026-09-22 24
15kTfD4CNzsWFpG5iLqFTGwSBmsCUsmUuqSDdnnEbiJBr87Q 2,672.14 DOT 2026-09-29 17
16ibYdmawCaLUh2ckgcqr56sYCcFqCzaPNiPuXxesRcj8V6G 2,132.71 DOT 2026-09-23 23
14Yf5wZdCB2ZgF4Nv2KpKBj1bN7E1oGmhrLCtM7W8PmuBAh 2,080.15 DOT 2026-10-12 4
16aaqX55Wf8ddU99dYcAprdAuPSUQU1DQdwh8C5q8zVB3uZK 1,000.00 DOT 2026-10-05 11
13PQfqsM671b8pBHhveQrAXSZo2WdEyVNGm4vq1QhsqpuVma 541.71 DOT 2026-10-13 3
15tR2jjsxRLEgfYpZNJmrh6qe3CLnAFhfVBfMCqX37iiHKVc 433.94 DOT 2026-09-23 23
1HFj3YHfPzXBdAHtsgvpX8XiS5YPatUdsJdbiiUKapQTtSK 407.28 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1569sAAjSYtCCThUtkVixDViDQYraYvYPFRaH9EFufVLF29y 350.00 DOT 2026-10-05 11
13YmEnVoximQrqTJ8fgH61WZwuDpwsJo89a1SQU8vdiWnoXQ 268.57 DOT 2026-10-05 11
14iiB37Uv3cAkd7UFU89891vb4SrELq8U5T3tdSUrP4mdLKi 250.00 DOT 2026-08-31 46