Polkadot Validators / lux8.net/01

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
15VWWtGr2Q...EsV9bAUV
Stake Amount:
1,055,493.34 DOT
% of Total Stake:
77.9%
Current Slot:
#698 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #698 → #898

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
19
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
11 nominators (51,928.43 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
7 nominators (4,284.13 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (232.90 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
58,097.10 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
4.3%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #698 → #708

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 19 unstable nominator(s) representing 4.3% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (19)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
16VxAempSTmZSm3iw8u7ppSZMsmuRu1fQ2VvZHjVG1qB3fm7 41,500.00 DOT 2026-06-09 1
15RxRAsE8nYbWFsxnPK34QxAy3XMfaWH8pyLZeo3dgiNqbmM 2,387.48 DOT 2026-06-08 2
14N1fWFKAGnQoSyNxxXb3Nghp7Afw71i8e5JiAsfMujtQqP 2,243.45 DOT 2026-06-09 1
167pZmDXCjsN7oo67QUPkPVrLncKdrLm2CB6pVyRqufznvdt 1,650.00 DOT 2026-06-09 1
14XybRtNpSyZ6mfQ5Pt4Vcijgq9ckuMkzbvo74znqPaWTtty 1,163.39 DOT 2026-06-09 1
14QmPDMVAEX8UKhk5XUp9DN16aYtHLvEsxjchtbEZaeN6G8Y 1,050.00 DOT 2026-05-06 35
1P9DsfqjFFhw5fkW13cVdtZUmpaDq7Sm7CEnMD1pY1isp5t 981.86 DOT 2026-04-24 47
126apChm3wKUM6woRTG4mXDxoapTS36Ztfgmxp4ZSvmi9mi6 954.21 DOT 2026-06-09 1
16kS9faQStfide8qooCKX6GPHBphZ9N1BKCB1Hmouoop4kJD 906.26 DOT 2026-06-09 1
16kkEKbFzfqRnWb25c6AdzJfmbXX9JANcoiNAxPrC9Rin2w5 840.00 DOT 2026-05-06 35
1yGb7Y7bWN7218A5wPP6gZtNQtwbSNSv5uwmJ9gFbRwwZbC 704.07 DOT 2026-05-30 11
136nuRxjr7KsURVJzHdQv8bWLsqoGrMA9KucuFqQuH3cjdSm 453.90 DOT 2026-05-08 33
16Lt8X3WKmEPFYpvN8M92Ag4joBHRMqwKzCyzHeuBm7GnRE7 355.76 DOT 2026-04-24 47
13VxQFK7tfJxKGvirmJzqBVuUSE3kRBeKchb83MD83f6VfFc 353.12 DOT 2026-05-06 35
1FGrxtfNzsSkVZ6RN6GwNnd2medFMbyvZpeXsLCHyWhMEwZ 249.48 DOT 2026-05-05 36
15L2bGY7ergNh88Bgr9dnoPXnuWVxnuTT5j13txU2DcQEQSn 232.90 DOT 2026-03-27 75
14BXxK5znyTFGQnnLZbxKNDwvYSqVzy314Y3ZMwN7kUYYCCQ 155.97 DOT 2026-05-30 11
16djykqnYMgbFaVtk4P2HG66XHDnpQJR69xMrGDehE38CQU4 137.32 DOT 2026-06-09 1
13HsUHXn44T4HnrCEhCwJotMCVQMTsTU4aYQPbmwBYsZn7Q5 126.27 DOT 2026-06-09 1