Polkadot Validators / ULTRAOPS/COLUMBUS

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
3/10
✓ Low Risk - Strong nominator base

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13i264UcaM...g8Yjvwgq
Stake Amount:
2,680,825.17 DOT
% of Total Stake:
21.6%
Current Slot:
#338 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #338 → #388
Risk Level:
LOW

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
37
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
36 nominators (12,314,329.32 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
1 nominators (111,043.09 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
12,380,955.18 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
99.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #338 → #488
Risk Level:
MODERATE

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (37)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13i264UcaMtDkJaXE96aKkEFvULKCzfDAy3hkQC7g8Yjvwgq 2,680,825.17 DOT 2026-08-28 4
12Joi61Ep7yJgfuAtFeRR7za27LmGuTtkPWL66Cc2T79Pt6i 2,675,947.60 DOT 2026-08-28 4
13PwrD5KB2eHd8ebBWiv8sCF38pj7FN9Nda6chQ9j3y6HXJE 2,590,862.22 DOT 2026-08-28 4
12uN87iqNpFic7AMv4dp483un7geirVnFK8rT3JXPkcnHcYt 900,891.63 DOT 2026-08-18 14
14TRFpWwdv2rNwofs2dcnVCqMpaCU3wKBM1nggJhoa52YbeT 865,614.04 DOT 2026-08-18 14
14Pr5ivQdawzdbSytPESC1xViPvCbP8wuz1st4HMkxCAX3r6 602,875.00 DOT 2026-08-17 15
13YFPwAHQw8c4U5y2XBs9GfXPc3pjkMQ8AxEgqaame7VnUYP 601,998.34 DOT 2026-08-17 15
14qVdnnRrvDqreh7wCUcHNwWwsfv5erJWeZiozBGJRchUZiV 455,607.00 DOT 2026-08-31 1
12K5KMTaHvEE3r3PLu5i5yv5FmFLCXLZpSJTquKE5MDmvVRu 453,833.45 DOT 2026-08-05 27
1L1bbgXVv3usqb8wUxbFGT8ojASfTRs2gsoQALiELTJkpTV 149,105.75 DOT 2026-08-17 15
1MdVKcaCyKShNwauj2zVUg7ewp7s8uFnfPk84yBb9MLD4iN 111,043.09 DOT 2026-07-08 55
13Y2UShDWJa9vbSmbMt7mYWerM2U1tpdwcbcWqGzah8omk5k 63,044.89 DOT 2026-08-23 9
13Y8ZNy1wi8QqHjQ4RuJJjufT1QT2Sfspb5gY515ZhWt6SLA 55,130.00 DOT 2026-08-30 2
1EmACHDwxVEZFkwBKJUqXEGEVav2cvv5cgvymoDpNf9nMEw 33,729.26 DOT 2026-08-18 14
14cNebN26xtyyTFEwd5ecQeqHwtHEXm9fMX9n221SofWa4YZ 33,000.00 DOT 2026-08-30 2
18tpZcxz1vVGMMyYmyKXY7TkzFCLMVW8Li9TWDXVKjBojsj 28,627.62 DOT 2026-08-17 15
15SVaQGerJJoSk1roFJBe7TxjACf1sppYjkGwAqnsszb7A3r 23,540.17 DOT 2026-09-01 0
13YgL6EvKtbXuERXXjxCiVXhZNzu6VrfDiS4Bh1bZb7ozZqg 18,049.47 DOT 2026-08-31 1
12uMF3DHKdfpS1AL1GTgJ5RG1iCAuGoeyuRjVNDSwVNBQfoZ 12,596.90 DOT 2026-08-26 6
1vK76Thufh5suBVohRAZJYD4MnCNvQen9rqUkWr6DH3GESd 11,215.28 DOT 2026-08-17 15
16Q4GBf3ZYBkUfbaWgYsnwgrAK8ZDEWmUD4EzeiqjS27f1oL 11,000.00 DOT 2026-08-30 2
12HbMAyUnz2YtnBAzyKqJiUAvVjtkYaYUojywRnn3xTQV5Li 10,813.97 DOT 2026-08-16 16
12NowuyGWKSokxkQRmzekeuGXMh7f428MBseecFQsAQMH3tE 9,912.05 DOT 2026-08-31 1
16fFcSTNzWDkzbG9qMfuW1mGBxuMNc3bes8Lw8ggZYVgMQXQ 6,597.27 DOT 2026-08-17 15
14muKTMagHCoE7rgyfnYQkejXczWV4S6b6BJbA9P3Cs3jpQP 3,583.16 DOT 2026-08-17 15
14K8BgnF24HbpncyexPnJeoiL1UrcXdhhv23t6zmjV4qwCVE 3,369.21 DOT 2026-08-31 1
11ZEoays1ZM4bhSH3DjBP18N1sa2itQHye2BfuD92mHPbja 2,554.61 DOT 2026-08-18 14
121D979KucJRpfjsPaxznHeNBNzTcKvhKhQAysg3yfQJfxtL 1,800.00 DOT 2026-08-30 2
19Rcwhs74vEujRs1FvGnSmo1S9T4ec6vAZbTSFQ5vZeuPcT 1,661.67 DOT 2026-08-26 6
15zmZHdjETP6H8mJSiS5zDghE7Px9GBSiULqaRNxn2vmwTqD 1,478.61 DOT 2026-08-17 15
12YHaNTT3hqfVaxL3D6au1u2BoKRpdL2KcFTw6pZcXvZs4bm 1,350.71 DOT 2026-09-01 0
15pBg8UEfyNCnGQh8bVUoLFAJ9vDv9MUcFkVgLQ8uH7XbdRQ 1,301.36 DOT 2026-09-01 0
13gB3J81uGnH8DVMmqs2nmCqpDUikZTkd7PW6rmgMmdGuwM3 1,000.28 DOT 2026-08-31 1
168jfBWE6FgVktTg51kWNwBDFNb6YxvbpLzZCGXerYGfVwam 566.59 DOT 2026-08-23 9
15aidTBYZUGu8PaEgKVuGF6EAjE3zsAm3C1f6AH9JUuURqyv 291.24 DOT 2026-08-16 16
17XgErGZLFtLv44sLpbYLRvM3XwQo276hYme7nDdckqoDvr 286.30 DOT 2026-08-16 16
13zsqoRu6VzauyKqUKAMkXybAw6M5qHTo8wA2BWnqeTRiF8E 268.53 DOT 2026-08-30 2