Polkadot Validators / 12hBW5...4H7rJyFB

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
3/10
✓ Low Risk - Strong nominator base

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
15tkQXN8hj...J1TWSJyX
Stake Amount:
11,676,099.01 DOT
% of Total Stake:
53.8%
Current Slot:
#266 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #266 → #466
Risk Level:
MODERATE

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
22
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
3 nominators (16,746,613.09 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
16 nominators (150,489.55 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
3 nominators (524,358.21 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
17,046,671.34 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
78.5%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #266 → #416
Risk Level:
MODERATE

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (22)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15tkQXN8hj28sucMHYcGfMvyxWJqHtcVEDvj5jrNJ1TWSJyX 11,676,099.01 DOT 2026-10-08 8
13fk4DpduiyA4eNneneAHekZvRLBHKAYxE1S5ZUeEK5t68XC 3,094,355.47 DOT 2026-09-25 21
15E4FjmszoSqEcFTi6HRFGnp8nFJHFJsh53DtwaLhk19q4Qz 1,976,158.60 DOT 2026-09-25 21
14nq68hzeu6AeEDcV1ipykbWxLai7xvcmHDNWMjmx87BUuMN 523,711.63 DOT 2026-07-31 77
15Jwha7BbBP694mFpjP5mJnbz7Wrdwjofpzp97EoPKDmvWQy 84,026.07 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14XyoBHenY3pXarPrk4AUbfRqDtZ9LrXNLWZyB8XzNNHyn4D 50,000.00 DOT 2026-08-23 54
14pYdETpfSofYxiX27t7UCUUjm2MiyJJmybHfitPVNyUXYw5 4,204.93 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14b2tbz8HvPMhkXDD1jZm2JUnWpTUyA5KuvjeatxznZMtFp4 2,316.54 DOT 2026-09-02 44
1UJj9CE5QfQP5W78QAA9QwMTcQdFjo11Sbh4DCtgrSDGAN2 2,279.88 DOT 2026-09-02 44
12T9Q8VNkSZc1MfHB9qvXr5V1rTwbSpAB2RQEqStpBnKL2Yv 1,467.43 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14KJtCUYcPoCwhsHWoSFPcbJD71hAkHiysaTCP25yn8GNJCL 1,273.33 DOT 2026-09-02 44
13QwYaabjm3hahjpS45DJm1Ppagg3BbqseGfXBFkzAdPcSjF 812.86 DOT 2026-09-02 44
13zwJVstyMDsVXYU2H3N2vDasoyuVtLiwkZD81tbJ72SMvsA 701.07 DOT 2026-09-02 44
13mPasiH4Comk977G3DmENcMQ5bVpq14CqaJWypU6Jdg6vHX 676.13 DOT 2026-09-02 44
13xa4qdAgQMFh1MUwsd9Lpy8v6pNnZzLrw7cpJXao9nVhW7q 632.80 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14rtDEegoi78YBYtBmdq81MQHKaLt8AShUwNisTioatpGAGU 600.00 DOT 2026-09-02 44
16DBDa983BjqS4kCf4QovvfugEVtnLnP9sJRYJLbwMocdbKk 439.05 DOT 2026-09-02 44
13GJGePe7HQevD8hQAnj6xH23XLQGDf2eJtkd3kqpv8e9osV 409.15 DOT 2026-09-02 44
14DJDutyjnxJWL1g6Seg5ibhDjYcSBAKd8z1Jsb7WPUFEMyn 357.87 DOT 2026-09-02 44
15J9V69yPsHu1aLLywSKjaw69BTJ9J3bzwyreZeynkxmN1w6 336.06 DOT 2026-07-31 77
14bDfHNyUFQojVNB3up1G7kVfFsCUPK95Jq2j2stDcoweuSf 310.52 DOT 2026-07-31 77
13Z6sJaaknzieodbiZ3nfT8cxCCDKC5f1Ha3afrC3P47hwFK 292.43 DOT 2026-09-02 44