Polkadot Validators / Coinbase/v03

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
14V5WZrJoh...wapkMcrA
Stake Amount:
1,643,457.45 DOT
% of Total Stake:
60.0%
Current Slot:
#697 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #697 → #897

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
12
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
10 nominators (31,550.10 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
1 nominators (1,426.00 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (550.66 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
53,514.24 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
1.9%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #697 → #707

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 12 unstable nominator(s) representing 1.9% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (12)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13E589EJkf2Mp46buuzsDdbSD3t55fvAmkRy8xfEKaY4Wysh 9,999.75 DOT 2026-05-30 11
12CUwAqgtr6FJfK2EN3EkpaB6hThvBCEgz3HDh4g4Hp5TZ96 8,257.12 DOT 2026-05-30 11
14Ev2HTqT9N74spJb3sGTAsoHX8xN3vdXJ5gWzGFPFsTLbiy 4,610.30 DOT 2026-05-30 11
14UYd77r7t6r5AgzJ4PHRTAUJCXSUWk8ZUXkM9xNGgV55qCQ 2,000.00 DOT 2026-05-30 11
13nqp1PNnNXjd9Dd7Jcwv9f9Gjam6kTi6pg2RVwuhK72VK8v 1,618.59 DOT 2026-05-15 26
14XpLNMBCLA6V7ZvKr6gqmsdeUW97mbEudv7zT4eBJYcym2W 1,426.00 DOT 2026-05-05 36
15azAp9Z4NpqNaxHKXasBn48DDD4qPXMDd3SRTu5wpasy56o 1,272.93 DOT 2026-05-30 11
13bTkAZqHyrwVRU2kyey8EJQeHT4vBtw5m5me9B1ecnfDADC 1,172.60 DOT 2026-05-30 11
15pH1sepTBCgh16DxzyZEQTRz8VuYwuaqagYgvKHAPggKWVw 1,027.81 DOT 2026-05-30 11
14H49GHZGpXpXaSe7HQGZeiLLxqdtbDfrJpVyNyqH7rs5Qy3 921.02 DOT 2026-05-30 11
13ivbjofkB3nHY2MmGpHwbvdaX7paG6h6Cm76TtxzfhDWkK1 670.00 DOT 2026-05-30 11
16CfALwkLaVVukJWX7eX2pY7dCuKqBK8qXV8qoMgCsYQJT7n 550.66 DOT 2026-04-09 62