Polkadot Validators / BRC/05

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13z6tqM18G...XKtHfixb
Stake Amount:
7,072,760.00 DOT
% of Total Stake:
97.0%
Current Slot:
#419 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #419 → #619

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
11
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
3 nominators (39,750.68 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
6 nominators (74,842.51 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
2 nominators (75,242.60 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
107,228.96 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
1.5%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #419 → #429
Risk Level:
LOW

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (11)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15usnEC2TF9hjQRkTk65rSyBctR7Jee5cRGCgyg9EbxJ4XgD 74,739.28 DOT 2026-06-29 64
15GnMnrsPf4QA3VE1PYQddgWP8pfr4q5Z9Y15c82Vuw1LwoC 58,392.99 DOT 2026-07-31 32
14TBDrFBcFpWCD5f6hAhvK4JP5PXZgQyoNXnezTnmioozice 25,229.00 DOT 2026-08-23 9
13emUTTus7X8tXaTx6uX5RfZNyYXDvAn3whmWCcgGxZLGnFC 12,374.76 DOT 2026-08-14 18
121C2jExKLb7UBXzFoFZ2VpRozSE2Mip6LQoS2Af1w1mMHqH 6,111.05 DOT 2026-07-12 51
13AxK1JCMj4xvDxgqPe4aQ6gsPcMjXhtip5FA32RQFAxJEwD 5,000.10 DOT 2026-07-10 53
153Fz22gxQP8HM8RbnvEt9XWsXu9nR8jxZC2MbQFmuKhN62f 2,758.08 DOT 2026-07-20 43
16GDk7RPtr3Ex1Zi4ARAxDhNVGWYeJM7NKQkw59fyecXcLm7 2,146.92 DOT 2026-08-09 23
1eudxcnfKHPRjKfAitFau5eKuRHxHr2BYX41n5edc3bWAn4 1,735.20 DOT 2026-07-11 52
16LdNzTokckTgtXCasn5z8ErHiMoPqWLVH8Pmq8VzeLC3qdi 845.09 DOT 2026-07-31 32
13rRC3azS8vSgFm8QVvU3G9iNWxZm1Z2k2T9NCM4abUj76gd 503.32 DOT 2026-07-01 62