Polkadot Validators / 12GwZG...BuJkDwm8

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
15sBZV3kLM...BKNkWMXA
Stake Amount:
938,098.90 DOT
% of Total Stake:
65.5%
Current Slot:
#582 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #582 → #782

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
9
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
9 nominators (1,332,243.32 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
1,332,243.32 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
93.0%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #582 → #732

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 9 unstable nominator(s) representing 93.0% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (9)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
15sBZV3kLMq3Co5s7FsJvckvDHh6a971QHvcCt8fBKNkWMXA 938,098.90 DOT 2026-09-23 23
15L1NbWtWhW6zRZQqr3qQDQTRP7hvqvZ3BE1VG8w5VggyJa8 134,656.68 DOT 2026-09-23 23
12QU8dcexjomK9qVCQL8cZBnjs8719J9L2AvEUoJpGWWLdPz 121,446.33 DOT 2026-10-09 7
1vPkv92KRkDTYTGUGLqnXpEi1472Vd2wuzySkY95gkqz25U 50,736.89 DOT 2026-09-23 23
12SQFWPvm8RTPnvFYUZUqV5qYnt5ubvomrU9cY1ce92gjKZU 24,852.44 DOT 2026-09-23 23
13J4RThpLU41JFdXpdEs1Qy5Gi29c82BFDwdKUnUcNpBigKc 21,060.61 DOT 2026-09-23 23
16hX3W8HA7uNhdoBScrAziV6R6PzMWXaY1Z2rdvHuXTxf1PX 20,951.47 DOT 2026-09-23 23
12du7WVc3LiNyEHrhjGtzV5Risa6oBeaYN7bpV8zyCsn8vPk 10,280.00 DOT 2026-09-23 23
14gNXh2ZZKiCWzxHrp3f5EQzwwGHcGTny6fBcmhzSNXSBcYB 10,160.00 DOT 2026-09-23 23