Polkadot Validators / 🐱BigLazyCat-02

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
13Z84bc4ws...v6h618Td
Stake Amount:
976,883.32 DOT
% of Total Stake:
25.6%
Current Slot:
#506 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #506 → #556

⚠ WARNING: Close to active set threshold (44 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
79
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
42 nominators (2,383,929.48 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
37 nominators (1,428,359.62 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
3,240,945.26 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
85.0%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #506 → #656

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 79 unstable nominator(s) representing 85.0% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (79)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
13Z84bc4ws7kkeLX7CejPp2iZ32UfcNEriLoJ3nFv6h618Td 976,883.32 DOT 2026-09-19 43
15aprSFtfkBkiZrdcVe2VjqNSmDqLbszLTKqazEqShP1xJX6 800,906.22 DOT 2026-10-20 12
14x1r3PrrV8E9iKJNcYuVWKy9MJ25hj2fR8nCYy49c93jXeH 292,276.77 DOT 2026-10-03 29
13UVJyLnbVp8c4FQeiGHuwQmjryMLyKsETR9mRHNkeHEwnPe 286,270.86 DOT 2026-10-22 10
16g5D63kpnpWSAMvWm9ur8CCfBsaVx1d3baG4y49NZqBTs4z 252,352.91 DOT 2026-10-22 10
14qevXUbiVyvU2jZSWNEjkpxUhe5ccnhVuorr5SQ9R2eFZMP 203,042.29 DOT 2026-10-15 17
14um9JzK9GXirF7B848i8KotQRfxRqj2NXcgsMBjo7ScSVcQ 179,291.18 DOT 2026-10-02 30
1L3K5nS1sSe1xvQ6pbYBTxhTmDivCRt7hLwyDHRzaKUZmfC 107,300.37 DOT 2026-10-03 29
12egKjF8KKa3dfHwKzh8T1PkfyD1Fs7TKAL6abjzvQd6AoML 96,180.38 DOT 2026-10-12 20
13zhutngsg5aQBXELtPLpP1tNkqcW1QtjEyfGNwb6xjAcpxX 65,020.43 DOT 2026-09-20 42
173zMWNgRdz7SZ24ifJ3dMfVS6vfES3MgN2aWkt98HiY72n 42,000.00 DOT 2026-10-07 25
14fdiVfw7UiXh7GwxQQUjyenA2rQyGWiB4WKH6f1QnRaK8Av 35,050.23 DOT 2026-10-10 22
143gdfxJbhJkhCEp2DzSyBgxWBiaGC1XL73Ga8VHXeejacSD 34,258.42 DOT 2026-09-25 37
1q3LiT85WvyESrgjmxJes58bBnwCTWD4SgpzsJrZxZxr9Kg 30,616.83 DOT 2026-10-04 28
12NupLhAFqMoPL6E6TzdUE5gjpEqkkSpE3Cv3ZUK2KaBXbZ6 30,052.05 DOT 2026-09-29 33
13GTwqRgp5Jj4gGmuHuYm7dXBo6eandPVfyCfkrrXyD1sGE9 25,465.49 DOT 2026-10-09 23
129bQ24D6VjEDeuJK8N6pqce4fUhfk8SDudLLS9LSB4st7T7 22,381.29 DOT 2026-10-04 28
12iGBV3eyfcmTVoPi73ocgmzPPVvpg2jTpykrWdmaPwi6zwK 21,333.20 DOT 2026-10-19 13
12ecDnCiinDWkmhauGh7WoyiprWuvwWn8QA4LXz4oYnJDiYp 21,144.75 DOT 2026-10-20 12
164eJtEUYV2De5TPYsYoW9Lu2XSxTMfNutr1oKaLBPJyRx5c 17,579.60 DOT 2026-09-21 41
16RFgnLYjieNxj6bVVhEKe4o5H7fELTxZdJeeGKAoeMSU4rJ 16,000.00 DOT 2026-09-17 45
15BVz24sLooQbMVVTrWbvjsjzg5dazCGAVBon3qbdU44MqpH 15,619.85 DOT 2026-10-06 26
14DK9U1GX5Rg97MZe6KQS7Py3FTuuDKuVEJRTF3aw1LvWBED 15,467.90 DOT 2026-09-22 40
1L2wnPHFeZdnteY3VpHHRquUamWDZV6L2qxUWLHwXCGzS9s 15,419.91 DOT 2026-10-06 26
1297ntkwEXwnUr7uFFBJtN23se6EWZFos5zhYWMDPjMqCNc9 12,436.82 DOT 2026-10-08 24
12HbMAyUnz2YtnBAzyKqJiUAvVjtkYaYUojywRnn3xTQV5Li 10,853.97 DOT 2026-10-03 29
1jRPDFNWWYskZfBCDguuihWG8mXgHc42PBt88q1iA69T4Zh 10,714.77 DOT 2026-10-18 14
14i5EeXS17SWNYhcVp9FLQsi5AfZksrCh794jRebanb8nEhE 10,668.49 DOT 2026-09-22 40
12YsCttbamz3NYuaZB23uaN32Tabv5YCFCk42452AqhMzY5K 10,228.09 DOT 2026-10-05 27
1P4KA2nf79E8ZR69rPsdWNNwTR1Jy2vLjyHEJKMr1PsfJpD 10,093.63 DOT 2026-10-03 29
1464d3tAS9gGDU1CneZo9eSu2YSSBuSwtF7WUSSfyB4yBp3z 10,024.14 DOT 2026-09-27 35
12FB3Rj2CKWFzrZTUrFsz7tzKqGiMDig1tgUZ17TrkkTJhpv 10,005.00 DOT 2026-09-17 45
15mLTt9BdhYo5CCcFTt46vaf8JbohNANn5s8BkVyhzK6hhS9 8,157.34 DOT 2026-10-21 11
14emfN7S3zdQcrs17ino722DZJkyDwJAERgsMsYTNiQ4AQiH 7,178.26 DOT 2026-09-25 37
13bDq3QmuWNMh5bCRe3KCXHGTdMSbJocPqDF7cB6RQXi5bLn 7,084.22 DOT 2026-10-04 28
14haUTj1LwjmKNAE3JuF5tUWM1poFoZA7QG8hEJRmrfYhnXz 6,870.00 DOT 2026-09-27 35
12YUTERsUPP7YbuAdf76o6928Ct6BHwuBVBjEzRGLpXpHaX5 5,939.70 DOT 2026-09-27 35
16dHNEfNvWYWm6LXxHtdasPhLharAjHk1Da4hkZs6Ti6t8p 5,668.36 DOT 2026-09-21 41
15GAxABSX67FdDsd7Y23kXNZU3segXCTeyED4qB6KzwhZR1j 5,150.61 DOT 2026-10-03 29
13WQBuqb3x71JRGxNTQLUibpgLUx9omaYBtbjfQXBgCXY4BK 5,007.34 DOT 2026-10-08 24
14FuRSuhAKThGnjrjFytJRgAnhWVefUPm4p4vd1tjCSepPUU 4,971.08 DOT 2026-09-25 37
12Bof5XC67Su3SSMqN5awJissWy6jmk1CRN2Kffg5ZLpe9GV 4,805.88 DOT 2026-10-03 29
13sTwBrwcwFhAddoYik2SyXx3DzJbL5RzrnpVZUwkpnnEYnV 4,039.03 DOT 2026-10-03 29
12rrn87zHXGwNA6kCXeaoR56TpqHmtPAuiHBAF3SmDJeaYCB 3,694.87 DOT 2026-09-27 35
1C5D2WDtTHCSTgZ1didkP3CBMap83hjnnXXNJD3xS4nuMGT 3,634.00 DOT 2026-10-03 29
15aoeh2M3aj8tnnmPR8PC6X9JkMBDFMP1pUXwLLt2kSQMUBA 3,452.37 DOT 2026-10-20 12
13MUtiHWFN6fTD6YpUvkaFpAZLY9htYp4GeWTmvqyZyiyN9M 3,099.57 DOT 2026-10-21 11
158EH34kXRjePFVBWUZt34oVw39pxXwsM8u7eNbHHqzBbAa9 3,099.35 DOT 2026-09-21 41
12Ndj6UyrHEy9B5DC3wWSmwUfuqZec26dgm2c8D22b9Pybea 3,098.78 DOT 2026-09-24 38
164s6GSTFKddFhdm6fqJwnkoQdRDqBNYB3pnDeabV49UN2rK 2,966.16 DOT 2026-09-23 39
13osJDf8w8VwW9M8HwLqrAwvLu1c5PbTgKoU9FgaspNTR3zu 2,956.89 DOT 2026-10-12 20
1Cedj3yLkYJpH22V4wGNtyXQXPYH3NEABnuDvPtiDLAwJPN 2,927.16 DOT 2026-09-23 39
13KjD6ZsVMbAMNqAuasQywwdRmKR6fAtgSyBuUXFG6F9Jtqo 2,622.75 DOT 2026-09-21 41
15hytUauMBe9rksipFqwRKhFzhM1fdtgGeVkUkzcijhudDt3 2,599.94 DOT 2026-10-02 30
14J8oygusH7Dquomp6d7c1Btkig3RoT9auVqeHABkuf2TfDd 2,092.84 DOT 2026-09-27 35
14Yf5wZdCB2ZgF4Nv2KpKBj1bN7E1oGmhrLCtM7W8PmuBAh 2,082.70 DOT 2026-10-12 20
12C2NiHYBEr1pnt9QxDoRrPghJRvZBiLJboeTra3bbNi2F2D 1,974.32 DOT 2026-10-09 23
16r4NPcwTUvqJ13WUs8oYwLDhDy2FxrPqanRDEt8xFF2kv8 1,926.33 DOT 2026-10-20 12
15rpQW2kk7zpz1RJoPVhXV7RQ9ffco88rSAs71QD6AQJsNYA 1,862.33 DOT 2026-10-09 23
12W5rkeEZ9CcU1k1JhSsesRUTudHyD43BTgzCxHvthgY3bL9 1,654.75 DOT 2026-09-24 38
1UVJ4Rd5nqZJMi4NGXRjabLN96MsNb9XFVUgmy5vr8morGP 1,598.29 DOT 2026-10-11 21
13fxR3hg1a1moDvrs61xRKLye5ggVfqpmXgUsrCfYKZNyrPJ 1,548.55 DOT 2026-10-03 29
16CsButwP8ANKbMWvo3yKWHtCooVExJjghY6Ve3gssn6XTMQ 1,334.86 DOT 2026-09-17 45
15m7gpKMBjM63VEQAWG9sJBMwS2Wz6e5Cm32yCSauowe8uGE 1,239.80 DOT 2026-09-26 36
16YE1h8QqFemSAxYXf2WDyeDZ7JXaGXPAB2AwyY8rhwtbd1r 1,172.37 DOT 2026-09-26 36
13uocJL1s4hqkjy9cNTArkiV6gLpxnw3j2ueUwV6GWoiNgZ4 1,136.08 DOT 2026-10-10 22
15m4gD8R2UZmBpisnMhY8vV6WhRZkryq4Uen3xq1P4vsnvfX 1,004.00 DOT 2026-10-06 26
13rVZv5QnjvfSd716Mt8gSdf4Z1G8MKVbffACuJfAxcNTLHu 770.72 DOT 2026-10-15 17
126LqmrVJ1RajPKDKETVTWUHBR3GsXpVNU8c7B81JTogHnok 685.50 DOT 2026-09-30 32
12ek6BD6mpF2eZMbF7EUL6j5rXBtkFqTvx2ESqULAgUChGDp 683.65 DOT 2026-09-29 33
14TGhU6ExkynFwYL7p9sVV9nK59cbFRwMFTgqN4Fovb9ZTWv 530.00 DOT 2026-09-30 32
16V2jQpU6VR7pSxccgdKtZhwyVSjM7fee2NNQDLSygWELxpZ 520.83 DOT 2026-10-08 24
12Qx2iwVW78Nk9ZxF1UrQAEVXCctWTnioB38cdcXfm1A262f 500.01 DOT 2026-09-28 34
15gHmh92pfuCpaJaWgMwBxLzSCWeGNTk3trRYdhLojECRAYD 429.49 DOT 2026-10-06 26
12WhCAYBAzTarYiUJLSdoP7hZekyjbAmPCftQFn8GGdoRhdP 361.20 DOT 2026-09-23 39
12Z4n3vrZ6HTLKvgWUqNR8uAqfYwsp6whgJDuo9DSbvv8F3v 344.57 DOT 2026-09-21 41
16Y2wdQGL6F2HkPjsXN4b5w1ZA58KB2xNZD1r3WrdhXGHzm9 300.72 DOT 2026-09-30 32
14ZqZaTHt7EYn9bAuFV6WrhDJPReLXHZAPiLBWeiB25owe9H 291.76 DOT 2026-09-17 45
14MwZ56qzNm2UC9jkA15M1fHni9ZiPvHNZKcAxn8uwmtTZyr 280.63 DOT 2026-09-27 35