Active Set Risk - 12BUAi...9aoxA95m - Polkadot

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:

12LdngMrL3...PZtWzuwK

Stake Amount:

7,710,401.00 DOT

% of Total Stake:

33.7%

Current Slot:

#219 / 600

Estimated Slot Impact:

Slot #219 → #319

Risk Level:

LOW

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):

Breakdown by Time:

0-30 days (High Risk):

1 nominators (14,897.57 DOT)

30-60 days (Moderate Risk):

13 nominators (22,885,735.24 DOT)

60-90 days (Low Risk):

0 nominators (0.00 DOT)

At-Risk Stake (Weighted):

13,746,338.72 DOT

% of Total Stake at Risk:

60.0%

Estimated Slot Impact:

Slot #219 → #369

Risk Level:

LOW

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (14)

Nominator Address	Bonded Amount	Last Change Date	Days Since Change
12LdngMrL3xmSSj6bCpAqprZBWWkHBfYdv47RxWMPZtWzuwK	7,710,401.00 DOT	2026-09-26	45
13HcMvaACjJBLPDWkiZYp3SCNyuTUERNc9EfRof6RKm95bjP	5,595,730.56 DOT	2026-09-26	45
15SBQ3sdJZ7jEbpMABwr6hF7ZPjZuaPBAuN29tpPdCovjTDE	3,225,723.81 DOT	2026-09-30	41
1k5WZHRTbEw3XNRh2xZGLHJPihFhP3ahz5VWbTW8oJiLQMS	2,118,277.42 DOT	2026-09-30	41
15TsfDDbbmLHQUibHq6kuEqNyDXNvxCPr9RJKkp2j2TLryhD	2,116,249.48 DOT	2026-09-30	41
1xwtoxDaT8fMb6bKaeh3ZG4daqLnwdkRDsWTz8t8wr3Cndh	1,665,085.50 DOT	2026-10-07	34
12rfhHHQTiXAez47ArerfvLKn9LD569v3jj7EQHeRbTfNp8f	147,310.00 DOT	2026-10-09	32
12C5jn25m47TcgYRWVik2JJjK1y1obzsASy1hSCppPNppaUx	146,906.66 DOT	2026-10-09	32
12QU8dcexjomK9qVCQL8cZBnjs8719J9L2AvEUoJpGWWLdPz	121,446.33 DOT	2026-10-09	32
12BUAiF1MT1Lbxn8xwB3Sj4f6ZxmGn5d9XYKT5rR9aoxA95m	15,000.00 DOT	2026-09-22	49
16PiC9wdtrfzTk6Kk9ZtbGDXr1NrS7oDRFmRAdJGrH7WVSrF	14,897.57 DOT	2026-10-29	12
155M86AJDDZVVyn8cvwN5CmkQCbUpiqSC6oa2V8dcsJso2mZ	11,904.35 DOT	2026-10-09	32
16Gqnr5B3oW7w3zhocsFqsFfRQGDhRorKtjNBPMAQCERaGxv	11,080.56 DOT	2026-10-08	33
163BZJrpSQqBT6tbW1aQ3RdWTpBPQknfdPvwkRcftF29FBoM	619.57 DOT	2026-10-06	35

Nominator Address

Bonded Amount

Last Change Date

Days Since Change

12LdngMrL3xmSSj6bCpAqprZBWWkHBfYdv47RxWMPZtWzuwK

7,710,401.00 DOT

2026-09-26

13HcMvaACjJBLPDWkiZYp3SCNyuTUERNc9EfRof6RKm95bjP

5,595,730.56 DOT

2026-09-26

15SBQ3sdJZ7jEbpMABwr6hF7ZPjZuaPBAuN29tpPdCovjTDE

3,225,723.81 DOT

2026-09-30

1k5WZHRTbEw3XNRh2xZGLHJPihFhP3ahz5VWbTW8oJiLQMS

2,118,277.42 DOT

2026-09-30

15TsfDDbbmLHQUibHq6kuEqNyDXNvxCPr9RJKkp2j2TLryhD

2,116,249.48 DOT

2026-09-30

1xwtoxDaT8fMb6bKaeh3ZG4daqLnwdkRDsWTz8t8wr3Cndh

1,665,085.50 DOT

2026-10-07

12rfhHHQTiXAez47ArerfvLKn9LD569v3jj7EQHeRbTfNp8f

147,310.00 DOT

2026-10-09

12C5jn25m47TcgYRWVik2JJjK1y1obzsASy1hSCppPNppaUx

146,906.66 DOT

2026-10-09

12QU8dcexjomK9qVCQL8cZBnjs8719J9L2AvEUoJpGWWLdPz

121,446.33 DOT

2026-10-09

12BUAiF1MT1Lbxn8xwB3Sj4f6ZxmGn5d9XYKT5rR9aoxA95m

15,000.00 DOT

2026-09-22

16PiC9wdtrfzTk6Kk9ZtbGDXr1NrS7oDRFmRAdJGrH7WVSrF

14,897.57 DOT

2026-10-29

155M86AJDDZVVyn8cvwN5CmkQCbUpiqSC6oa2V8dcsJso2mZ

11,904.35 DOT

2026-10-09

16Gqnr5B3oW7w3zhocsFqsFfRQGDhRorKtjNBPMAQCERaGxv

11,080.56 DOT

2026-10-08

163BZJrpSQqBT6tbW1aQ3RdWTpBPQknfdPvwkRcftF29FBoM

619.57 DOT

2026-10-06