Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
HFMgdbnZm7...9VLJt2Ka
Stake Amount:
18,227.85 KSM
% of Total Stake:
60.2%
Current Slot:
#838 / 700
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #838 → #1038

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
29
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
8 nominators (2,088.37 KSM)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
16 nominators (21,285.21 KSM)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
5 nominators (137.26 KSM)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
14,963.32 KSM
% of Total Stake at Risk:
49.4%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #838 → #918

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 29 unstable nominator(s) representing 49.4% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (29)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
HFMgdbnZm7FfvU9L7viaLrH61zYSLMZUJf3MUpi9VLJt2Ka 18,227.85 KSM 2026-07-29 34
E2Yv1seAdZ44Mp16DJQVkXXzJBJ28Do6PQuq3SudhJXaiw7 2,000.68 KSM 2026-07-29 34
FaeNU3wNmWCfycr1W1bmj8LwjnikwxNUeGjpcM6utv97Rpy 1,232.47 KSM 2026-08-03 29
CaLYafAKRkaWnGFCuBhcnsurrzWECMdRTR9TyCHbkDebovM 416.42 KSM 2026-08-08 24
DVYy1qnocE8t6ZvUfPx3rEjG829khNRXx3YrCGVHHj19Lcb 332.08 KSM 2026-07-08 55
J2LqhdcM1acNdbtJbZ62ZsFjX3CqUfrdwnzk3agfJyhGYDg 298.29 KSM 2026-07-21 42
Efmz8AD3rEKC9jDZ7ghBD7X7FGqbjk6q7zNBL2XAxQbUoaT 220.01 KSM 2026-08-03 29
EtHmvsFtVRBaET7T8FcU1hA7Pi6CLUsy4sp1kGN72DD28ck 118.53 KSM 2026-06-10 83
DgyaGTFUmWsrfjftyPeZqTuMTESBgvwm2jynzT25TqBxoJg 112.82 KSM 2026-07-21 42
FFG9S7X2QoUwM2zmfRVRp1mS1iBUv85fEBYVUGY9bhoH3WB 109.93 KSM 2026-08-03 29
JBmYDRXAEiE1Kh3TZm5Q1TSFdp2iCvQAam63JNswsz34nAc 97.47 KSM 2026-07-31 32
FZr8Vx8XuhZ3Ay2sdU61kZA2egtWBUJRe46AzYpzvZuD1HN 80.27 KSM 2026-08-03 29
Dgzw9BZei6hAmAd11fDmobt7GpNMQeez8iLD1PrcaNi6dqG 74.10 KSM 2026-07-29 34
Go79CD4Uj6GWNedUC4YV92uUn5vuC3NtUmgLgjpJeAaKx11 60.02 KSM 2026-07-31 32
HbQoRTe9PBmo21wfA9Z1pog25jKrgyNmDPhYZrr6Yii6qg4 24.42 KSM 2026-07-29 34
H4fdLuhYXDDtkFdVVpDaFmLDkJAaPrwJnJu73KLM4g81DXv 23.19 KSM 2026-07-31 32
HyPwRzsppWh9tYecm264engcGvMRgu29BdvSRySZijNLwQn 18.70 KSM 2026-07-08 55
Die8x6ZqBkH5UvjT5VrQS2AsjXFoBvGHBfRwX9TCm3W7SLi 18.12 KSM 2026-06-27 66
EdA4YRnkxBG1YXfgKHfB6PCucUFkuGXeNo1Zpi6rUSCEoqA 17.62 KSM 2026-08-08 24
E8U6hZzZWkTW6KbPVnwpVhN8J5wSA6DbrfgkcbXPsjf797q 11.15 KSM 2026-08-03 29
Eu4Bcj8AEqpJDFfitEDAvHiTAXwNUSAVVJXfZ3EPYFzP1ch 7.08 KSM 2026-07-31 32
DKNJ393brjYqWWv5UUxmvAMjgLDNJDez5XZPQxAAFEgsa9A 3.64 KSM 2026-07-20 43
HvMes3agkMVpdJXLRUecoWvNUiSyHJCSAgd2BZRQTXzVwr3 3.10 KSM 2026-07-21 42
GRippfL1ADxbfDKDVzdNXZNvCQ79aRukPeCWjZa6a8dKExT 1.67 KSM 2026-07-31 32
J1Zn197dbWgsMKu62pTXy1xfHuyF7HsESPiJrZ94edafXtj 0.50 KSM 2026-08-03 29
HboMZp2wrKFi5yqVTq88P4MhYgJGfMa9tjKMHmxy6niLwHo 0.40 KSM 2026-06-27 66
H7fRAHWyLDd6Z6wv9pWBwGjx4jUfXTcCF9E76z8imt9PrGM 0.11 KSM 2026-06-30 63
DB7YnuBKbyAWnLSPBK84euQgnG7tpfu32JKwZjMK6DCbox7 0.10 KSM 2026-07-08 55
DPyk1oiAgHy6DCu7JejGdHY3zb6XoyMtFLHRGNEj7ERr8ia 0.10 KSM 2026-06-11 82