Kusama Validators / MathCrypto/07

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
G4RasQNUjg...xg9eiHng
Stake Amount:
14,238.79 KSM
% of Total Stake:
83.0%
Current Slot:
#814 / 700
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #814 → #1014

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
8
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
7 nominators (15,133.38 KSM)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 KSM)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
1 nominators (143.16 KSM)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
15,176.33 KSM
% of Total Stake at Risk:
88.4%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #814 → #964

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 8 unstable nominator(s) representing 88.4% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (8)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
G4RasQNUjgkXkdCuW2zgMJPcjZijaTmkJixb3oMxg9eiHng 14,238.79 KSM 2026-06-30 18
Em5emgQoDyqemhbWhYjrgqK6gJySuPs43VvFZxxNcC8iHVe 479.47 KSM 2026-06-27 21
DhugsYqsg24KENTfDDsv7Q4VinwcH8M6t6K5z45jSySa14w 318.78 KSM 2026-06-27 21
CfcoZgp9vBqkhKDA1C7eiKycDhaV75v7Cod3D6UVux42C9w 143.16 KSM 2026-05-06 73
DYNYBPTjBuLm93pMjFch69328PXGzw3sgFi6pBJqjnQaTgo 61.77 KSM 2026-06-27 21
JKcuWvYd2wezG6ZaNphSKxqVfs6ua6wJxwRKUvCnh7ywJh2 12.87 KSM 2026-07-09 9
CpKGZAkSNLN4aUPxhq6UhAz9W98zanXxE7yzWp6RMhPGWFF 11.95 KSM 2026-06-30 18
EXNPJ7PKsCf6QWKVjbhHmyP8CHSqDHkKSXYDkjcrHEx7omg 9.75 KSM 2026-06-27 21