Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
6/10
⚠ Moderate Risk - Monitor nominator changes

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
Hpjn1p7Vfn...f7oqBE8p
Stake Amount:
2,202.81 KSM
% of Total Stake:
19.0%
Current Slot:
#640 / 700
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #640 → #690

⚠ WARNING: Close to active set threshold (10 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
17
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
5 nominators (187.68 KSM)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
3 nominators (261.77 KSM)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
9 nominators (851.99 KSM)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
2,174.47 KSM
% of Total Stake at Risk:
18.8%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #640 → #680

⚠ WARNING: Would be close to active set threshold (20 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 17 unstable nominator(s) representing 18.8% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (17)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
F8DLMqfewKm5sUNzNpofTjPWTP1uRmqyjAh4c7ZxgZdXwa5 551.90 KSM 2026-07-28 80
F3opxRbN5ZavB4LTn2KFiDb6nEEKjywd2ynMht9bgH65on5 149.00 KSM 2026-09-13 33
FrLUvMLXfruQixmVZJdvMEjpnF6QugsWe3f1VGWKPDTnzdK 111.00 KSM 2026-09-13 33
J6VatQBjSzCpK98WhuznnwQhTzsGvgghbqBk5AqQBR7Grf6 109.98 KSM 2026-07-29 79
GjTxb84LvcpN5TABVteSMK51J5ExihYoWDtBitCdfzTpSAV 85.81 KSM 2026-07-28 80
Fr7awJHrzCA6KUhLq7v2LKCXQjX9WYTZxUs9fkgpwrCgmUG 69.32 KSM 2026-08-08 69
J6vC5q2b9MB4PA449x4xHnQjPU8uKY3wuDBrWfRYHkkeTfg 65.48 KSM 2026-09-27 19
F3opxRbN5ZavB4LTn2P8QFFB6cZgYrKrFjZEqgCgvKq7Lfz 57.68 KSM 2026-09-22 24
EUzMhFeN9EuSZEmXdwkcvsamfJ4cqk61AvrN93f5zeSwcS1 48.37 KSM 2026-09-27 19
JCeETxK2xZLZC54t7mrY7Vbr7y5okuHQJHY2kNnSFmETh2u 15.87 KSM 2026-07-29 79
F3opxRbN5ZavB4LTn2VLcs3V4nbFufxQVjmMKpfjoPJfTqs 13.00 KSM 2026-10-05 11
FDeEaKyxLmz87mo7SxRk2LeoCb6EWDPb2oJWbGH5RNnSDCQ 9.58 KSM 2026-08-16 61
HTyvoDKTzBKBznayLxij15Xo489K6aSwDGniHZqYufQAfhi 5.96 KSM 2026-08-08 69
HvkqRjNRkB5Z2LsK21NkPrcJHkisoRohYQhXQWxXHkhSxV2 3.47 KSM 2026-08-08 69
CmLzJCnpNc8imwcbCxhDPpn13o6WJMvz5zrLr8cVNkZmJa3 3.16 KSM 2026-10-06 10
D2a2qw1kgEX2TFLQAeuCD4mC28JRNRe2rSJrAhsjJ1T7UNn 1.77 KSM 2026-08-29 48
DQuQpWgGQQXNZ8sqotbRwMgYNG4PMsTLyQc9KkV4m9nuBcC 0.10 KSM 2026-07-31 77