Kusama Validators / redpenguin/3

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
DQaLXT25dj...9Es3omDE
Stake Amount:
2,490.64 KSM
% of Total Stake:
35.7%
Current Slot:
#853 / 700
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #853 → #953

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
29
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
9 nominators (221.56 KSM)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
1 nominators (25.60 KSM)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
19 nominators (271.16 KSM)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
2,204.93 KSM
% of Total Stake at Risk:
31.6%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #853 → #933

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 29 unstable nominator(s) representing 31.6% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (29)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
JEsJkxA4kivPfZp5FzBKXBXqCfcm1CT9zFxeJ5HToaxecZU 134.10 KSM 2026-10-06 10
CejAkKEdngZJEUyxU7pUq1jRBzXEBY6cchwBVS4xcC4MXkp 80.00 KSM 2026-07-27 81
Ecih2abdBgRNmwXT4GiWq6tAfA6ir2nGPvkKb3cHxjEJ3qj 76.46 KSM 2026-08-12 65
FUtjDM1PpgJfpoktDDKumaom3UHCwV1CZbA4QChdUgDyRrR 41.69 KSM 2026-10-06 10
EALH4bWLa9ZBwK5d1aXZvRGYMnLvHPdFWLRHazRrz1TbmWL 25.72 KSM 2026-10-06 10
HbWm8zmboGhySRQVoP2eEA6GnAbp8j9CPMktKas2rVWvBZs 25.60 KSM 2026-08-21 56
E5EJM17Vz1J6PhkVfdRX3Q6BGJA2gLpqA9A87zNJuqKj4D8 25.48 KSM 2026-08-08 69
CdgXeb45k2EivFuC2iaLquXznPknJN461kLY5TUb56iSteo 23.09 KSM 2026-07-31 77
DN4SJ8XrtQQQjURpDuSNiQ3ENN6enEcKkTtCmNJ9qoxuR1E 20.53 KSM 2026-07-31 77
GkaPbAQE7UWTv9GM9vY3vaubJz51XuUZjfjGVBYcWxbFaV5 16.84 KSM 2026-08-08 69
DwPZXdwDxSwNDrxsaPBn88TSVoMq8eXo8ovwknGnsAaP7xL 9.59 KSM 2026-09-27 19
FXqcAJjeTWi1JYQvcW2ScZ3kEjmxZd1ycRHRuvBVQBbRkfF 8.23 KSM 2026-07-31 77
EG4cF5iKcyNCve874XMk973Gk3vGmjJeVpsrof5oHhJPR19 8.00 KSM 2026-08-06 71
FCHdRJ3VXSU1Hedo1exs5XMcc5GjZHbeapHjQqbRbRNu5bP 6.61 KSM 2026-08-15 62
GnePCsFdvBkP87aoRd9BpZwickitfwbJjnNb89PfW4U3VMt 5.22 KSM 2026-08-15 62
J7GkDxrDXwVkaopqcVNq1jZ4YfAwyfsXtuZvopeHTgqFEKB 4.89 KSM 2026-09-27 19
HKrgKmJ9bDa3GpeVmbr5xYbcdVbRUkjDN3MMVrYJJvQNxEG 4.75 KSM 2026-09-27 19
FcqNAbnEfdmviVHNNU6pRw59shJp1kqTHG6ARwCxFSGjZip 0.66 KSM 2026-09-27 19
ESWigryKW9dYamskdnD4VGBSaTNeCcoTEKX58Zfzhqoh3J8 0.30 KSM 2026-08-06 71
FSE8YepjhYVHZUeUcteLsvsLgnxxQ9YjNfktYj6PcWZ3Gfx 0.20 KSM 2026-07-31 77
Gf6GbnSC8JCHA2jpGcxyhJZ5Siqxu6hGphDhQqhZw1PZ6vu 0.14 KSM 2026-08-06 71
DuXhTvPonoD5A84TR98SfPAE4yzjTfTuJ8YVsDDVRvPZiAH 0.09 KSM 2026-09-27 19
G9VKpiR6NKY5KqgJEjoJeTNMg1cxtC1Q7jZyJ6yMZ43PP9B 0.07 KSM 2026-09-27 19
HEqUL15hEwMhTP87LJmJCgNv8SohWpRZQka5ADeV1AkEABT 0.01 KSM 2026-08-06 71
Du2zURKbMykwJCwV2pcgV4M5Y5xMbUygHEQ2phNfhQ1FosU 0.01 KSM 2026-08-09 68
HCANoFjUF4JZXDJ45GSPzivhLxyfcDV2dtMMfYVuAvNLnch 0.01 KSM 2026-08-06 71
CbEPedDPZ7JTM1PVze734BeBTA2gv4CAc1VggCuTg9igvKu 0.00 KSM 2026-08-09 68
J4nF3nzgxnMMCEfvQi4SQ4tPZKWbAe9tZGveB3JkDfpa4SJ 0.00 KSM 2026-08-09 68
EqryrGiuMf4yzHRBnTxdtDXNpaL7kTFFrhB4r7y8AziFW2i 0.00 KSM 2026-08-06 71