Kusama Validators / redpenguin/4

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
HKBLz7qgox...HNT2s1fx
Stake Amount:
2,827.01 KSM
% of Total Stake:
22.1%
Current Slot:
#781 / 700
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #781 → #831

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
35
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
7 nominators (322.46 KSM)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
8 nominators (502.29 KSM)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
20 nominators (3,124.52 KSM)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
3,776.00 KSM
% of Total Stake at Risk:
29.5%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #781 → #821

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 35 unstable nominator(s) representing 29.5% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (35)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
HKBLz7qgox4bXZvJdJFQRVcMEzJJN5bAmGYhko4HNT2s1fx 2,827.01 KSM 2026-08-06 71
GwFUDZvCHrQn57huB72XiHy6jknusZjKYR4LodH1qCpJcn5 299.97 KSM 2026-09-09 37
DYQZDcUPAuAcD9pSYJMwDdEp9aXqeZp9p1gMcZZ59QPoxCB 238.32 KSM 2026-09-27 19
EM9VTYKLTFBUTEoSNX9VzEVnz9QyoMDXKshc6j3Tx8zq4cx 141.38 KSM 2026-07-19 89
HHKP5J7AGWwL8Dcvz8wpraPAFqcXSZSn3TNoGJUW4fnnN2m 119.05 KSM 2026-08-18 59
CwoqK1QkPQus84XKSRDbg7NFNLjS6n58KcRvVV6QtHTxp1H 36.42 KSM 2026-08-18 59
DfXTCyxRVhcQRbYhm81SeaJ4VHqvx9n7vKehHHwuwdtQfU2 35.59 KSM 2026-07-21 87
JC7r9vC5qSXq6Sqii4eHxCyhgQXGSJQaBgNm6uzZADuSWms 35.12 KSM 2026-08-18 59
HPBPFbVnz8PvtdzZtdvCsT6jMqqPrv95ZQTVfJ1THw9PAnx 34.55 KSM 2026-08-09 68
CsBoUuavEcdxehCbNrC9ZJTsDsfzwGBZBByAx3dKUHwBoZR 33.32 KSM 2026-09-27 19
Fkg9Ese1k5gdBG4zcCsSN1tQfcygbusFvaR3ndKWdf6Qb65 26.84 KSM 2026-08-06 71
HL7bjTaNnCULkKXjHdy2JXR5knrNJaH1rLTp463Czb8rkDD 20.52 KSM 2026-10-12 4
DECWXn1JiiaBAwm3PmVQGFKKKBnYebfEwYusdDuMNVvhD1T 16.72 KSM 2026-08-06 71
DPXFVyNHDZJvbUy2knpqCvXXcGKKoQ7rjVE4JPgHWUQXJAs 14.44 KSM 2026-07-29 79
GyVTXAV3eC8qmmFZEAXqUwMaZT4Ty72MGGinLWqFUaWFTfw 13.19 KSM 2026-09-27 19
Dws9t1NiaWLyDjhRtUrV6zzQxyhPWVVQriamjqK1HCMadgt 10.22 KSM 2026-07-29 79
DhcJ1oisGfT8m3ymi8hTZRSW637RvAYCymwgSTDFFZcdDyn 9.11 KSM 2026-09-27 19
F3opxRbN5ZavB4LTn2TBnr87LMJ4MBxwpRte2byMZ8tkqHL 8.42 KSM 2026-07-31 77
EG4cF5iKcyNCve874XMk973Gk3vGmjJeVpsrof5oHhJPR19 8.00 KSM 2026-08-06 71
EExUSzeQv7a7rpUCa1jWyXvRA1Tt5QY5GQRPtjWeMXftGzZ 6.91 KSM 2026-09-27 19
GFcUxEQYuSTPhVzH1Qmysv8ec5RswRgGQ7y7kFJEJiuMQ4e 5.87 KSM 2026-08-18 59
F3opxRbN5ZavB4LTn2RXVh8N4BiuRxf8ixqyYQXB2G1B29w 3.60 KSM 2026-09-09 37
GqvsWHPL7QjQSGhUMha26ECnHRjm5pvtmHdKqSUwqjmM8TY 2.01 KSM 2026-08-18 59
HeE8hGzbAsSGVPkGEhm6FqxYT7zVhAKvtqay4vPFhsShfbG 1.09 KSM 2026-09-27 19
FS1xeXgPh3jQVLW3s1NN7gguH2LxgenBegmSh13m8JBeqrv 1.04 KSM 2026-08-06 71
JLFiAdmhkiVL5z8cSbJdnUG76jfpKtSpamxSDYxBje3PWZF 0.26 KSM 2026-08-18 59
Gf6GbnSC8JCHA2jpGcxyhJZ5Siqxu6hGphDhQqhZw1PZ6vu 0.14 KSM 2026-08-06 71
FCodEUfwrDL6ed9gkmqF9PHv1tpk1QmdG95sKPfdvx5r2vH 0.11 KSM 2026-07-31 77
Hgvg8bQwnQqNma2CHCr13WpptzsGi34WAcc2UbiRQTwzCLH 0.02 KSM 2026-08-06 71
HEqUL15hEwMhTP87LJmJCgNv8SohWpRZQka5ADeV1AkEABT 0.01 KSM 2026-08-06 71
Du2zURKbMykwJCwV2pcgV4M5Y5xMbUygHEQ2phNfhQ1FosU 0.01 KSM 2026-08-09 68
Gspens18PeFv8v1FCwQrEwcTsxQjHRCAcYdVYehYhrd1vZZ 0.00 KSM 2026-08-06 71
Ez8dPVrd5v2mrPhXHJpWMVvecRBjUBt1WkHCywtumLo1SkU 0.00 KSM 2026-08-06 71
CfsBZ9k8ukxhWCUxBDYUYXUb71y3qeDC9ZvAa8RtCsGk9Fq 0.00 KSM 2026-08-06 71
EqryrGiuMf4yzHRBnTxdtDXNpaL7kTFFrhB4r7y8AziFW2i 0.00 KSM 2026-08-06 71