Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
HEcRKbMbkU...xisVGrj3
Stake Amount:
62,772.54 KSM
% of Total Stake:
46.0%
Current Slot:
#559 / 700
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #559 → #659

⚠ WARNING: Close to active set threshold (41 slots buffer)

Risk Level:
HIGH

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
12
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
9 nominators (134,596.77 KSM)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
3 nominators (2,000.01 KSM)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
0 nominators (0.00 KSM)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
135,796.77 KSM
% of Total Stake at Risk:
99.4%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #559 → #709

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 12 unstable nominator(s) representing 99.4% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (12)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
HEcRKbMbkUC6U1xWyVLBNeQi6eMvaCQaZvkwScdxisVGrj3 62,772.54 KSM 2026-07-20 1
HrnRHtFNgeFgXZEpTymZN1Kou5TgveQeo245q57q3UArCEB 51,933.97 KSM 2026-07-20 1
FMDRE17bMpRt8UZFEfsmZ7h7MctgMyyxHhaK3Lwhwc54BUU 19,332.43 KSM 2026-07-20 1
Dct96DdPGQ6m6VZT8zYfdPzVCXXp49mT9dAxHr4fXBUpRcv 1,000.00 KSM 2026-06-21 30
CaZ5Ei1URw6ze9kDz8pELhVXfKmNGHsoUDD6jTkFfka41XE 1,000.00 KSM 2026-06-21 30
F3opxRbN5ZavB4LTn2GykVBpSE17XBnFTiCdhueAWBo6jG7 352.94 KSM 2026-07-01 20
EmBnrPCVhg8chvdMK2dzrd3JoPN5qyG8ffG5ZhWuziNWCf3 113.02 KSM 2026-07-08 13
F2qoYNW5jYevftuRJ9amPxo9fJrEofL52EijCYcSXzepCNF 50.23 KSM 2026-07-09 12
HeuhMj4dG93seLkxj9pz8WkiSpTAG4u6QnPX8ALCM66GSRU 20.14 KSM 2026-07-04 17
EQX8CszoGEW8ZkNdneewezKkGiMoG2k5bAruXKyLQzYHRWk 17.57 KSM 2026-07-02 19
GEvQQYHZEdzNWvSukVMocGMuZ2AxpRJNwf4RpJMJKyyMwDw 3.92 KSM 2026-07-06 15
D3XdFkeEE1WsKJSTBSafUheEnK3ZtJKug8uth45xBQr8K9j 0.01 KSM 2026-06-03 48