redpenguin - Kusama Validator Performance

redpenguin ✓ Reasonable Fair

Netherlands, Amsterdam (Hostkey B.v.)

Part of the redpenguin fleet · 4 validators · See the fleet →

Backed by 2 nomination pools · browse them

Slot

#479

Commission

15%

Nominators

Stake

53.2K KSM

Updated

10h ago

Performance Metrics (Health: Fair)

Active Set Longevity

182 days

54.8% uptime (182 of 332 observed days)

Current streak: 115 days

Longest streak: 115 days

Commission Stability

68/100

Moderate

Change frequency: 0 per 90 days

Volatility: 31.9%

Last changed: 2026-07-01 22:10:14

Expected Returns Details

13.6% ↘

Estimated APY (28-day avg)

Current era rate: 13.5%

Trend: declining

Avg era reward: 922 KSM

Avg assigned stake: 13,780 KSM

Avg era point share: 0.15%

Based on 85 eras

Click for trend, ranking, and projection

Validator Self-Stake

104 KSM

Bonded by validator

💰 Validator Earnings Details

13.5 KSM

Total income · 2026-10

● Comm 13.0 ● Self 0.6

Rewards distributed: 86 KSM

vs last month: ↗ +153.7%

Click for full earnings history →

Slot Position Volatility

Medium

Avg slot: 484.3 (30 days)

90-day avg: 497.4

180-day avg: 598.2

💰 Reward Claims Status Details

✅ All rewards claimed

Total unclaimed: 0/84 eras

Click for timeline and details

Overall Risk (Health-Based) Details

5/10

Moderate

Health Score: 54.47/100

Used in main list "Risk Level" filter

Click for calculation details

Risk Assessment (Flags)

0/10

No risks detected

✓ No risk flags

Based on specific warning indicators

Turboflakes Grade era 10154 Details

A+

MVR: 0.0% missed

Missed Vote Ratio (para consensus) · last completed era

Nominator Stability Details

67/100

Moderate

Stable nominators: 43

Unstable nominators: 14

Total nominators: 85

Stable percentage: 50.6%

Active Set Risk Details

6/10

Moderate risk

Largest Nominator Risk:

⚠ 57.4% of stake from one nominator

If they leave: Slot #479 → #679 (close to edge)

Risk: HIGH

Recent Nominator Changes:

⚠ 38.5% from recent switchers

Some recent nominator changes

Risk: MODERATE

Node Telemetry

redpenguin3

Parity Polkadot 1.24.0

Peers: 32

Propagation: 192ms

Last snapshot: 2026-09-21 04:34:02

Health-Based Risk Calculation

Formula

Risk Score (0-10) = 10 - (Health Score / 10)

Your validator: 5/10 risk = 10 - (54.47/10)

Health Score Breakdown (54.47/100)

The health score combines 7 dimensions into a comprehensive performance metric:

1. Stability (30 points) 15.34/30

Longevity: 8.2/15 pts
182 days in active set over last 365 days
Commission Stability: 6.8/10 pts
No commission changes (10 pts)
Slot Volatility: 0.3/5 pts
StdDev 93.7 → 0.3 pts (Moderate volatility)

2. Reliability (33 points) 15.0/33

Era Points Consistency: 0/15 pts
No era points data
Turboflakes Grade: 10.0/10 pts
Grade A+ = 10.0 pts
MVR: 5.0/5 pts
0.00% parachain votes missed
Payout Status: -0.0 pts penalty
No unclaimed eras

3. Growth (20 points) 9.48/20

APY Relative Score: 4.5/10 pts
Percentile-based APY score relative to active validators
Stake Growth: 5.0/10 pts
Placeholder while stake growth tracking is pending

4. Transparency (32 points) 15.0/32

Identity Completeness: 12.0/12 pts
Has on-chain identity: redpenguin
Commission Transparency: 0.0/5 pts
No commission changes for 180+ days
Grade Trend: 3.0/5 pts
Grade stable (3 pts)
Telemetry Visibility: 0.0/5 pts
Public telemetry available (5 pts)
Self-Stake Confidence: 0.0/5 pts
Minimal self-stake (<1%)

5. Nominator Quality (20 points) 8.71/20

Nominator Stability: 6.7/10 pts
50.6% stable nominators (90+ days)
Single-Point-of-Failure: 0.0/5 pts
Biggest nominator impact: 200 slots
Aggregate Risk: 2.0/5 pts
Aggregate unstable risk: 80 slots

6. Geographic Diversity (8 points) 6.0/8

Location Transparency: 2.0/2 pts
Known location: Netherlands
Country Concentration: 2.0/2 pts
Low country concentration (<20%)
Provider Concentration: 2.0/2 pts
Low provider concentration (<15%)

7. Infrastructure (8 points) 8.0/8

Client Version: 4.0/4 pts
1.24.0-660acefe665 = Latest stable (4pts)
Location Quality: 4.0/4 pts
Based on Geographic Diversity (location visibility + concentration checks)

Total Points: 77.53/146

Normalized Health Score: 54.47/100

Risk Score: 5/10

👥 Nominator Stability Analysis

STABILITY SCORE

MODERATE

STABLE (90+ DAYS)

50.6%

UNSTABLE (<90 DAYS)

33%

Why Nominator Stability Matters

Direct Impact on Your Position: Unstable nominators are more likely to switch validators, which can cause sudden drops in your backing and potentially push you out of the active set.

Health Score: Contributes 10 points to your overall health score under "Nominator Quality" dimension.

Nominator Tenure Breakdown

43 nominators

Supporting you for 90+ days

These are your committed, long-term supporters

14 nominators

Supporting you for <90 days

Recent additions - may still be testing validators

50.6% Stable 33% Unstable

Current Risk Level

Moderate Risk: Your nominator base has moderate stability. While 43 nominators have been with you long-term, 14 are relatively new (<90 days). Focus on building relationships with your newer nominators to improve retention.

How to Improve Nominator Stability

Build trust through consistency: Maintain high uptime, consistent era points, and stable commission rates
Engage with your community: Active presence on social media, Discord, or Telegram shows nominators you're committed
Demonstrate transparency: Share your infrastructure details, location, and operational practices
Optimize performance metrics: Higher era points and better grades attract quality, long-term nominators
Competitive but stable commission: Avoid frequent commission changes that can scare away nominators

⚠️ Active Set Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

6/10

MODERATE RISK

Current Position

#479

in active set

Safety Buffer

slots to edge

Worst-Case Scenario: If Biggest Nominator Leaves

They Control

57.4%

of your stake

→

New Position

#679

▼ 200 slots drop

Impact Assessment:

Close to Edge - Only 21 slots from dropping out - very risky!

Recent Nominator Behavior

Stake from Recent Switchers 38.5%

What This Means:

High Turnover - Large portion of stake from recent switchers. These nominators have shown they're willing to change validators and may leave again

How to Reduce Risk

Diversify your nominator base: Attract more nominators to reduce dependency on your largest backer (currently 57.4%)
Build nominator loyalty: Engage with your community, maintain consistent performance, and communicate openly
Monitor slot position: Keep track of your active set buffer - aim for 200+ slot cushion for safety
Improve performance metrics: Higher era points and better uptime attract stable, long-term nominators
Set competitive commission: Balance rewards to attract nominators without sacrificing your validator income
URGENT: Your buffer is critically low. Focus on attracting new nominators immediately

redpenguin ✓ Reasonable Fair Netherlands, Amsterdam (Hostkey B.v.)

Performance Metrics (Health: Fair)

Health-Based Risk Calculation

Formula

Health Score Breakdown (54.47/100)

💰 Reward Claims Status

Current Status

Last 30 Eras Timeline

Payment Speed

👥 Nominator Stability Analysis

Why Nominator Stability Matters

Nominator Tenure Breakdown

Current Risk Level

How to Improve Nominator Stability

⚠️ Active Set Risk Analysis

Worst-Case Scenario: If Biggest Nominator Leaves

Recent Nominator Behavior

How to Reduce Risk