Winterspring - Kusama Validator Performance

Winterspring ✓ Reasonable Fair

Poland, Warsaw

Part of the Winterspring fleet · 2 validators · See the fleet →

Slot

#453

Commission

15%

Nominators

Stake

116.2K KSM

Updated

11h ago

Performance Metrics (Health: Fair)

Active Set Longevity

183 days

50.1% uptime (183 of 365 observed days)

Current streak: 95 days

Longest streak: 95 days

Commission Stability

100/100

Excellent

Change frequency: 0 per 90 days

Volatility: 0.0%

Expected Returns Details

13.5% →

Estimated APY (28-day avg)

Current era rate: 13.9%

Trend: stable

Avg era reward: 895 KSM

Avg assigned stake: 12,699 KSM

Avg era point share: 0.14%

Based on 85 eras

Click for trend, ranking, and projection

Validator Self-Stake

100 KSM

Bonded by validator

💰 Validator Earnings Details

14.2 KSM

Total income · 2026-07

● Comm 13.6 ● Self 0.6

Rewards distributed: 91 KSM

vs last month: ↗ +376.1%

Click for full earnings history →

Slot Position Volatility

Medium

Avg slot: 344.5 (30 days)

90-day avg: 350.2

180-day avg: 554.9

💰 Reward Claims Status Details

⚠️ 1 era overdue

Overdue (affects health score)

Total unclaimed: 1/84 eras

Click for timeline and details

Overall Risk (Health-Based) Details

4/10

Moderate

Health Score: 57.44/100

Used in main list "Risk Level" filter

Click for calculation details

Risk Assessment (Flags)

0/10

No risks detected

✓ No risk flags

⚠️ Unpaid Rewards: 1 era overdue

Based on specific warning indicators

Turboflakes Grade era 9794 Details

A+

MVR: 0.23% missed

Missed Vote Ratio (para consensus) · last completed era

Nominator Stability Details

29/100

Unstable

Stable nominators: 17

Unstable nominators: 56

Total nominators: 94

Stable percentage: 18.1%

Active Set Risk Details

10/10

High risk

Largest Nominator Risk:

⚠ 37.2% of stake from one nominator

If they leave: Slot #453 → #553 (moderate buffer)

Risk: MODERATE

Recent Nominator Changes:

⚠ 95.3% from recent switchers

Some recent nominator changes

Risk: HIGH

Node Telemetry

WinterSpring

Parity Polkadot 1.22.3

Peers: 40

Propagation: 204ms

Last snapshot: 2026-07-11 04:34:02

Health-Based Risk Calculation

Formula

Risk Score (0-10) = 10 - (Health Score / 10)

Your validator: 4/10 risk = 10 - (57.44/10)

Health Score Breakdown (57.44/100)

The health score combines 7 dimensions into a comprehensive performance metric:

1. Stability (30 points) 19.23/30

Longevity: 7.5/15 pts
183 days in active set over last 365 days
Commission Stability: 10.0/10 pts
No commission changes (10 pts)
Slot Volatility: 1.7/5 pts
StdDev 65.3 → 1.7 pts (Moderate volatility)

2. Reliability (33 points) 12.99/33

Era Points Consistency: 0/15 pts
No era points data
Turboflakes Grade: 10.0/10 pts
Grade A+ = 10.0 pts
MVR: 5.0/5 pts
0.23% parachain votes missed
Payout Status: -2.0 pts penalty
-2.0 pts penalty (1 overdue eras past grace period)

3. Growth (20 points) 9.7/20

APY Relative Score: 4.7/10 pts
Percentile-based APY score relative to active validators
Stake Growth: 5.0/10 pts
Placeholder while stake growth tracking is pending

4. Transparency (32 points) 25.0/32

Identity Completeness: 12.0/12 pts
Has on-chain identity: Winterspring
Commission Transparency: 5.0/5 pts
No commission changes for 180+ days
Grade Trend: 3.0/5 pts
Grade stable (3 pts)
Telemetry Visibility: 5.0/5 pts
Public telemetry available (5 pts)
Self-Stake Confidence: 0.0/5 pts
Minimal self-stake (<1%)

5. Nominator Quality (20 points) 4.93/20

Nominator Stability: 2.9/10 pts
18.1% stable nominators (90+ days)
Single-Point-of-Failure: 2.0/5 pts
Biggest nominator impact: 100 slots
Aggregate Risk: 0.0/5 pts
Aggregate unstable risk: 150 slots

6. Geographic Diversity (8 points) 6.0/8

Location Transparency: 2.0/2 pts
Known location: Poland
Country Concentration: 2.0/2 pts
Low country concentration (<20%)
Provider Concentration: 2.0/2 pts
Low provider concentration (<15%)

7. Infrastructure (8 points) 7.0/8

Client Version: 4.0/4 pts
1.22.3-e3737178ec7 = Latest stable (4pts)
Location Quality: 3.0/4 pts
Based on Geographic Diversity (location visibility + concentration checks)

Total Points: 84.85/146

Normalized Health Score: 57.44/100

Risk Score: 4/10

👥 Nominator Stability Analysis

STABILITY SCORE

UNSTABLE

STABLE (90+ DAYS)

18.1%

UNSTABLE (<90 DAYS)

71%

Why Nominator Stability Matters

Direct Impact on Your Position: Unstable nominators are more likely to switch validators, which can cause sudden drops in your backing and potentially push you out of the active set.

Health Score: Contributes 10 points to your overall health score under "Nominator Quality" dimension.

Nominator Tenure Breakdown

17 nominators

Supporting you for 90+ days

These are your committed, long-term supporters

56 nominators

Supporting you for <90 days

Recent additions - may still be testing validators

18.1% Stable 71% Unstable

Current Risk Level

High Risk: Your nominator base is unstable with frequent turnover. Only 18.1% of nominators have been with you for 90+ days. This puts you at risk of sudden stake losses that could drop you from the active set. Immediate action needed to improve retention.

How to Improve Nominator Stability

Build trust through consistency: Maintain high uptime, consistent era points, and stable commission rates
Engage with your community: Active presence on social media, Discord, or Telegram shows nominators you're committed
Demonstrate transparency: Share your infrastructure details, location, and operational practices
Optimize performance metrics: Higher era points and better grades attract quality, long-term nominators
Competitive but stable commission: Avoid frequent commission changes that can scare away nominators
Focus on retention: You have more new nominators than stable ones. Prioritize keeping your current nominators happy

⚠️ Active Set Risk Analysis

Overall Risk

10/10

HIGH RISK

Current Position

#453

in active set

Safety Buffer

147

slots to edge

Worst-Case Scenario: If Biggest Nominator Leaves

They Control

37.2%

of your stake

→

New Position

#553

▼ 100 slots drop

Impact Assessment:

Moderate Buffer - Would remain in active set but closer to the edge (147 slot buffer)

Recent Nominator Behavior

Stake from Recent Switchers 95.3%

What This Means:

High Turnover - Large portion of stake from recent switchers. These nominators have shown they're willing to change validators and may leave again

How to Reduce Risk

Diversify your nominator base: Attract more nominators to reduce dependency on your largest backer (currently 37.2%)
Build nominator loyalty: Engage with your community, maintain consistent performance, and communicate openly
Monitor slot position: Keep track of your active set buffer - aim for 200+ slot cushion for safety
Improve performance metrics: Higher era points and better uptime attract stable, long-term nominators
Set competitive commission: Balance rewards to attract nominators without sacrificing your validator income

Winterspring ✓ Reasonable Fair Poland, Warsaw