Polkadot Validators / 12zQwS...BivRdAwk

Active Set Risk

Nominator withdrawal impact analysis

Overall Risk Score
10/10
⚠ High Risk - Vulnerable to nominator withdrawal

What is Active Set Risk?

This metric measures how vulnerable a validator is to losing their active set position if key nominators withdraw their stake. High risk means the validator could drop out of the active set if large nominators or many unstable nominators leave.

Single Point of Failure

Biggest Nominator:
148PX4iqPk...FyyS1A7s
Stake Amount:
587,893.82 DOT
% of Total Stake:
42.9%
Current Slot:
#641 / 600
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #641 → #741

🚨 CRITICAL: Validator would DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Aggregate Unstable Risk

Unstable Nominators (0-90 days):
61
Breakdown by Time:
0-30 days (High Risk):
23 nominators (809,422.76 DOT)
30-60 days (Moderate Risk):
29 nominators (139,185.02 DOT)
60-90 days (Low Risk):
9 nominators (31,496.87 DOT)
At-Risk Stake (Weighted):
923,087.06 DOT
% of Total Stake at Risk:
67.4%
Estimated Slot Impact:
Slot #641 → #791

🚨 CRITICAL: Combined unstable nominator withdrawal would cause validator to DROP OUT of active set!

Risk Level:
CRITICAL

Note: Weighted risk considers nominators who changed nominations in the last 90 days. Recent changes (0-30d) have 100% weight, 30-60d have 60% weight, 60-90d have 30% weight.

⚠ Warning: This validator has 61 unstable nominator(s) representing 67.4% of total stake. These nominators changed their nominations recently and may withdraw again.

Unstable Nominators - Last 90 Days (61)

Nominator Address Bonded Amount Last Change Date Days Since Change
148PX4iqPkmciH4m6redL5hn9t94etTuca5zGa93FyyS1A7s 587,893.82 DOT 2026-05-17 23
13K5CcP14wJshAk1EKEYeHfHMCQWbpe8UvkWNKZmmvCTwGn9 174,903.54 DOT 2026-06-01 8
13YFzti7JBFVknJj1Z5viUUtMPT8s8cqZvK7axvDp3coVFej 80,000.01 DOT 2026-05-08 32
13C3u3CuXKxGboLNty4KVWMMWLUgUxFTe2NE9VxHWHcYdELB 14,000.62 DOT 2026-03-15 86
155hq5Tg5Yr9GJxfbaY3dg9NZLeQ9GiZmCqfpnDDGtw6PEki 13,935.36 DOT 2026-05-25 15
155M86AJDDZVVyn8cvwN5CmkQCbUpiqSC6oa2V8dcsJso2mZ 11,743.49 DOT 2026-05-25 15
17YjrbQxYD6Vd1HnXyeNHYBdXmKJw7qUrgMeBCgXLV2H4Px 8,264.05 DOT 2026-04-27 43
1bPNng6CcqBomDNMDRePa51Go2EuenCe1xXG7QWQ4U7XLXG 5,820.81 DOT 2026-05-09 31
15twBx6NyFVYV42MtJgunhTr2MeMLDJv5o7tuy2eWPZ6Go4Y 5,273.70 DOT 2026-03-16 85
14iVJgDBy5cSRguGAS5RQZZAT247QTV1fCd8iXutAfoJGTb2 5,079.27 DOT 2026-03-15 86
13V9HrqTKmwq54UF78g3YpQ5HZQbcJSYZq3XNvKZQA3EG1HY 5,045.81 DOT 2026-04-25 45
12uiHpHVbXDjwunFUziffmUJPPGDKtNAZUn3bGSnxE2BMoi9 4,955.59 DOT 2026-04-25 45
14fzdr5HWFNTFyQBb1iTtnssTMxsQNvz8wWB9a7TAKSuw2d2 4,379.10 DOT 2026-04-27 43
1537X8PDJ7LRdc5j5APu3Yr4vAgNfZ2NGfgEcPLS377v7dTg 3,738.69 DOT 2026-05-05 35
16MdLxy2Wz1nmSpNZ3SaAgG4yk37FwPxZL6yTFe8hvk91pR6 3,608.16 DOT 2026-03-15 86
1jWr2y2vzcU3JTnaQAV3hNXosqhDerDFupKtJzBEzffLkXa 3,505.41 DOT 2026-05-03 37
1yRfRZ3ypJduNSEPC7vffzKFGz3ZNkk3xA5MvTcoPvSVHwm 3,234.61 DOT 2026-05-09 31
15XgoPkrTgN8kwktK6bfNGMaeNnMNozM3KYzqD4GB8dA1Xed 2,582.49 DOT 2026-05-08 32
1RMhx6dkxNGDBfbwPBnmKbJSVbDCa4owNhUSHQHXwodkpUm 2,535.91 DOT 2026-06-01 8
163CfqAh9GnUCqi7dEoawms8wdKGqDVSiD6wk666rAEPNTpy 2,192.50 DOT 2026-04-23 47
13fpTPdc9hyBvJUt5jVtPYreyMeP5wHQpKBE9k27xqXrHAic 1,870.87 DOT 2026-05-31 9
16SgSGMTYyMqqxgxRgCddoBDScCb2BRLS5vcvmNuaQuBWf1 1,870.68 DOT 2026-05-31 9
12RGdkUpmkqN8rpFy4FZyhFrpsrh9dSLJmSpn4ensptkz6bF 1,779.87 DOT 2026-04-23 47
13KGXgjFdKRK19Ubv75tjzqrrmB6H19XqUPSfLyRpeJYy1m9 1,747.60 DOT 2026-05-24 16
16PCeo4PeXa7ZkQGeeKRBB59wdA4fAyKSmkMqfinm1M985Bj 1,564.89 DOT 2026-05-06 34
12ZgNA1pDZr6G6nAiRqwDoTPsBqDMnxaY51mxs1xEain1hFH 1,534.15 DOT 2026-06-01 8
12xej4DqEGYbBbDssuNJ7gDSKJSoEJKz2qgUH7iovanY3Sg8 1,511.12 DOT 2026-05-09 31
14ChnJifqvkr5peJiE7TgtBm3bJRtCJgB3KEVRUcHhVvPC8 1,498.55 DOT 2026-05-13 27
1jW1de3tXzk2h8zau2opZCyQXbRi6AQq8hSZVzCz3Qyn4mo 1,497.34 DOT 2026-05-24 16
1k2LmsrahKPqdaxThnZ8n5WvChY9S7kTG2ZECkWVVX898Mh 1,467.26 DOT 2026-06-01 8
14ou9Dx5UJE3j5vRMUGLbCSgJN5zbxKhxWvvZsfJngi4JvxX 1,369.00 DOT 2026-05-08 32
15Y2g1N5QhtuG6fW71JKcTFbMLASFgde8CXYcLXnNM84V7n3 1,254.07 DOT 2026-05-31 9
15kWT77LPcMykacXPnxn5z6DjWK5R31bucsh19UCoyQDVwMP 1,199.45 DOT 2026-04-29 41
1Wg24Tiaftns8TpKC8VjAdiWFg9a5qgVGj5ShUaTgb9ehwo 1,111.52 DOT 2026-03-18 83
12U4qPwNh4Y49yc7dmgpRtzb78uUKYbCQE5VLjzjw7xPm1aK 1,098.82 DOT 2026-05-03 37
14B6ZTcGuuKutUC6q8NUaLxS4GSKNCT6Z73pryaTXtvuiWc7 1,020.35 DOT 2026-04-26 44
15EWncJsbvVkm99jWpvCp2GMSqY6Grp8mNk2ps4UoX6k9wA6 993.73 DOT 2026-05-11 29
12BVZZGN6jGi3BLuuQWDheDmzeYhXMZkz962DB7a3Ae6fn9E 971.44 DOT 2026-04-23 47
15kdCUY8LiNWQtitdqz6pDMaQua8hz85FpDbNgdRtyYiXin3 953.91 DOT 2026-05-31 9
15MxyqQQx4EMXqF31QcymFF3nMqoM2K17Z3SEkv75zwd2QXL 815.83 DOT 2026-03-16 85
16KbzMzvwRtsLnv7UFdJrJYVmA1hTPVCqFzKX6Jpw6tnaWw6 802.78 DOT 2026-05-13 27
1WEAKaj5SEqUoN4KUsHnXtDrX45tSt4DHAxcUvaxv5kNDpL 719.96 DOT 2026-04-23 47
126Uc8yUttJtyvoeTyhYyneaERv2Hz2K3hfQ85XNLR8wQUSm 709.85 DOT 2026-03-28 73
15cEC2MGN6Chs3BnRWhCvMRFh5m7mxXEWPqFbNbwJCtFVwFA 675.80 DOT 2026-05-09 31
16JULBnXPzWaPcvVGEc148RFVBdWZ6hFjbC6VFPnnpxmxEv6 637.75 DOT 2026-05-07 33
16SJe5viNtJ6dbbPQoh3eKt734oA5rSEKSWVqUgyDCFm3M4s 613.10 DOT 2026-06-01 8
15oSCEcGGixzcek8g9ppZVgnfccT5ToMoYX6MiCgcWth4rkc 602.27 DOT 2026-05-11 29
16XvDhvBk1k7eXtuTVr48e9wNqryoBa4bKKBeuMciYTqsu4r 597.56 DOT 2026-03-16 85
12CJinTcNDVHAW3Q5bDHzCanh3fvtFPjLS7x3EFogFKiTuCe 586.06 DOT 2026-05-07 33
12jszJtRE889hi525mCzdoC7b1tbFUc7mQgwTQTSDSytZtyb 536.62 DOT 2026-05-12 28
15dFDVxB1JdccBE8bbUStszzhzZbE5dwH32Bi1xhKx2e3vJW 496.24 DOT 2026-04-25 45
14iAbvXnMtRq3z8kSLBhuxyHhoiHCZ7Enq9jnnza6QJQ54tu 470.00 DOT 2026-05-09 31
13ivZMM3hkDeiQAjyjYbEsZpjBBgRe5XdcutsR72J1Q1R4pg 384.70 DOT 2026-04-26 44
142xv59nLoQigYSzZNsFVM21hEHfG1He4erVhFfkVrKN8GWp 363.51 DOT 2026-04-26 44
14BoZRL2pxhfeTJRCoxkeWADQVN9XexBVkdRnJjXCVRZa8bX 312.15 DOT 2026-04-27 43
1ZiF3M864fHF53NbQ9VpwKBxTsHggq9oCaymhw4pUQDoy4w 305.32 DOT 2026-05-31 9
15m4PkEnoTEeCRkYWZDv8K7uZNgG2b2NGcPikwZjibPh5BjK 304.83 DOT 2026-05-07 33
15AvXSor2FiEmVegaz7vtaU7iqoUvC2SWeSaRFfjPvUBXz4q 303.34 DOT 2026-06-01 8
12fSGidNPxtEq3Ve1762yZ8AeENC58rq4Ad6Uin462XVjpwF 300.36 DOT 2026-03-15 86
15mVCaYwLBtLLthmdmM2fX9Gn8SY4AXpHbjFcdCnaEPagdbE 298.98 DOT 2026-05-13 27
12woat6ZqS7Ka7ToMUMuWQ2FCDDsz9ATeNHk8apojG7S7oTu 260.07 DOT 2026-06-02 7